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Gold Price Analysis: Bears testing bullish commitments at 200 dma

  • Gold flirting with the 200-DMA as markets await Biden's rescue plan.
  • US dollar correcting as US yields firm on economic recovery hopes.

Further to the prior analysisGold Price Analysis: XAU/USD's recovery at odds with the US dollar's daily chart, the price of gold remains anchored.

Rising rates continue to place a wet towel on gold markets with spot gold now flirting with a break below the 200-DMA.

''Complacent positioning in gold is being shaken-up by a rise in rates, and with positioning still stretched, the aggressive rise in Treasury rates is placing continued pressure on the consensus-long gold market, which could still threaten a deeper positioning squeeze,'' analysts at TD Securities explained. 

As for the DXY, prospects of higher government spending by President-elect Joe Biden's incoming administration and a vaccine plan has led to a rise in US Treasury yields, supporting the greenback.

The US dollar has also benefitted from expectations of a continued economic recovery in the United States while countries in Europe resort to lockdowns to fend off a second COVID-19 wave.

''This doesn't bode well for gold flows, particularly given that gold is an inflation-hedge asset only inasmuch as the Fed's stance on rates translates into a low rates vol environment,'' the analysts at TD Securities argued.

''However, recent fedspeak has pushed back against the need to immediately extend the weighted-average maturity of their Treasury purchases, suggesting officials are willing to test the resilience of equity markets against higher rates''.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1848.82
Today Daily Change1.50
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open1847.32
 
Trends
Daily SMA201883.27
Daily SMA501863.76
Daily SMA1001888.86
Daily SMA2001843.43
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1857.6
Previous Daily Low1828.54
Previous Weekly High1959.42
Previous Weekly Low1828.27
Previous Monthly High1906.87
Previous Monthly Low1775.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1839.64
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1846.5
Daily Pivot Point S11831.37
Daily Pivot Point S21815.43
Daily Pivot Point S31802.31
Daily Pivot Point R11860.43
Daily Pivot Point R21873.55
Daily Pivot Point R31889.49

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

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