Gold Price Analysis: After the break lower there could be a retest before the move continues


  • Gold is trading 0.54% lower as the dollar strength continues.
  • The next support is USD 1863.24 per ounce.

Gold 4-hour chart

Gold has broken lower over the past couple of sessions as the greenback strength gathers momentum. It is hard to confirm if this is a deep correction or a reversal although the latter seems less likely. The global risk environment has not been too great either and gold usually shines during times of turmoil so there may be a lagging effect for this theme.

Looking at the technicals, the blue support level that has been broken was pretty firn. Now the consolidation low marked in red could be the next big target for the bears. If the bulls are to take charge the blue line at USD 1915 per troy ounce could be the next resistance. Beyond that, the black upward sloping trendline could also be another resistance zone to watch. 

The indicators are understandably bearish. The Relative Strength Index is oversold and this could mean there is a small correction before the move continues. The MACD histogram is in the red and the signal lines are under the mid-zone. There is a good degree of MACD separation too indicating the move may continue. 

The underlying uptrend on the higher timeframe may not be over. Before the bulls were waiting for the price to break the USD 2k but now the new level to watch to the upside is USD 1915 per troy once. Having said this, if the move lower is serious then there could be a retest and rejection of the levels mentioned.

Gold Technical Analysis

Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1902.74
Today Daily Change -9.54
Today Daily Change % -0.50
Today daily open 1912.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1944.51
Daily SMA50 1937.25
Daily SMA100 1838.58
Daily SMA200 1716.89
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1955.66
Previous Daily Low 1882.34
Previous Weekly High 1973.64
Previous Weekly Low 1932.88
Previous Monthly High 2075.32
Previous Monthly Low 1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1910.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1927.65
Daily Pivot Point S1 1877.86
Daily Pivot Point S2 1843.44
Daily Pivot Point S3 1804.54
Daily Pivot Point R1 1951.18
Daily Pivot Point R2 1990.08
Daily Pivot Point R3 2024.5

 

 

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