|

Gold falls to seven-week lows amid risk-on mood and stronger USD

After an initial uptick, gold turned lower for the third consecutive session and slipped below $1270 level to fresh 7-week lows.

The prevalent bullish sentiment around the US Dollar, which got an additional boost from Monday's upbeat US ISM manufacturing PMI, has been one of the key factors weighing on dollar-denominated commodities - like gold.

   •  Key US data events reviewed - Nomura

Adding to this, a fresh wave of global risk-on trade, with major US equity indices closing at record high level on Monday and driving Asian markets higher on Tuesday, was also seen denting the precious metal's safe-haven appeal.

   •  Wall Street finishes at record highs on upbeat data

Meanwhile, investors seemed to have largely ignored an uptick in Euro-zone political uncertainty, with renewed optimism over the US President Donald Trump's tax reform plans and expectations for a Fed rate hike move by the year-end continued driving flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal. 

From a technical perspective, Monday's break below 100-day SMA might have triggered a follow through technical selling and seems to have collaborated to the commodity's fall to its lowest level since mid-August.

Later during the NA session, the Fed Governor Jerome Powell's comments, at an event in Washington DC, would now be looked upon to grab some short-term trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate support is pegged near $1268-67 area, below which the metal is likely to accelerate the slide towards $1263 level en-route $1259-58 support. On the upside, the $1272-73 region (100-day SMA) now becomes immediate resistance, which if cleared might trigger a short-covering bounce towards $1279-80 hurdle.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.