|

Gold falls to seven-week lows amid risk-on mood and stronger USD

After an initial uptick, gold turned lower for the third consecutive session and slipped below $1270 level to fresh 7-week lows.

The prevalent bullish sentiment around the US Dollar, which got an additional boost from Monday's upbeat US ISM manufacturing PMI, has been one of the key factors weighing on dollar-denominated commodities - like gold.

   •  Key US data events reviewed - Nomura

Adding to this, a fresh wave of global risk-on trade, with major US equity indices closing at record high level on Monday and driving Asian markets higher on Tuesday, was also seen denting the precious metal's safe-haven appeal.

   •  Wall Street finishes at record highs on upbeat data

Meanwhile, investors seemed to have largely ignored an uptick in Euro-zone political uncertainty, with renewed optimism over the US President Donald Trump's tax reform plans and expectations for a Fed rate hike move by the year-end continued driving flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal. 

From a technical perspective, Monday's break below 100-day SMA might have triggered a follow through technical selling and seems to have collaborated to the commodity's fall to its lowest level since mid-August.

Later during the NA session, the Fed Governor Jerome Powell's comments, at an event in Washington DC, would now be looked upon to grab some short-term trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate support is pegged near $1268-67 area, below which the metal is likely to accelerate the slide towards $1263 level en-route $1259-58 support. On the upside, the $1272-73 region (100-day SMA) now becomes immediate resistance, which if cleared might trigger a short-covering bounce towards $1279-80 hurdle.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.