|

Gold dumped as Macron & Le Pen head to runoffs

Gold gapped lower and extended losses to $1266; the lowest level since Apr 11 after Le Pen finished behind Macron in the first round of the French elections.

Relief for markets & for polls

The risk-on action could be attributed to the fact that the worst case scenario of Le Pen-Melenchon for the runoff has been avoided. Moreover, polls got it right this time and thus the results are not only a relief for the markets, but also for the polls, who had lost credibility following the Brexit and US election disaster.

The offered tone around the safe haven metal remains intact, despite the mild recovery to $1272/Oz. Another round of selling could be seen in early Europe and North American session.

The decline in gold goes well with the fact that US 10-year treasury yield is up close to 8 basis points.

Gold Technical Levels

Friday’s close was $1289. The bulls are down, but definitely not out… despite the drop to $1266 levels. This is because the metal still trades well above the 50-DMA, 100-DMA and 200-DMA levels. AT the time of writing, prices were hovering around $1273.

A break below 4-hr 100-MA line of $1268 could yield $1261 (support on 4-hr chart) and $1248 (4-hr 200-MA). On the higher side, breach of resistance at $1275 (session high) could see the metal fill the gap by moving higher to $1283 (4-hr 50-MA) and $1295 levels (recent high).

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MStrongly BearishOversold High
1HBullishOverbought High
4HBearishNeutral Shrinking
1DBullishOverbought Shrinking
1WBullishNeutral Low

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 amid trading lull, awaits Fed Minutes

EUR/USD trades around a flatline below 1.1800 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any trading impetus as the US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Fed's December Meeting Minutes release, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD retakes 1.3500 despite the year-end grind

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and retakes 1.3500 on Tuesday as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Despite the latest uptick, the pair is unlikely to see further progress due to the year-end holiday volumes.

Gold holds the bounce on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold holds the rebound near $4,350 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was Gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).