• The prevalent USD selling bias helped regain positive traction on Monday.
• Fed rate hike pause speculations further underpin the non-yielding commodity.
• This week’s FOMC meeting minutes/Powell’s speech to provide a fresh directional impetus.
Gold regained positive traction at the start of a new trading week and recovered a major part of Friday's corrective slide from 6-1/2 month tops.
The precious metal reversed an early dip to $1283 area, with a combination of factors helping build on Friday's late rebound from near one-week lows touched in the aftermath of blockbuster US monthly jobs report.
The US Dollar failed to capitalize on the post-NFP uptick and remained on the defensive through the early European session on Monday, which eventually extended some support to the dollar-denominated commodity.
Despite Friday's stellar headline NFP print and stronger than expected wage growth data, the Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious comments fueled speculations over a possible pause to the Fed's policy tightening in 2019.
Growing market consensus, that the Fed will do nothing in the first half, provided an additional boost, though improving risk appetite now seemed to keep a lid on any strong follow-through for the safe-haven commodity.
Moving ahead, Wednesday’s release of the minutes of the FOMC December meeting, followed by Powell's scheduled speech a day later might now help determine the non-yielding yellow metal's near-term trajectory.
In the meantime, the broader market risk sentiment and the USD price dynamics might continue to act as key determinants of the commodity's trading action ahead of today's release of the US ISM non-manufacturing PMI.
Technical levels to watch
XAU/USD
Overview:
Today Last Price: 1291.23
Today Daily change: 6.2e+2 pips
Today Daily change %: 0.482%
Today Daily Open: 1285.03
Trends:
Previous Daily SMA20: 1262.86
Previous Daily SMA50: 1238.88
Previous Daily SMA100: 1224.07
Previous Daily SMA200: 1229.19
Levels:
Previous Daily High: 1298.42
Previous Daily Low: 1276.82
Previous Weekly High: 1298.42
Previous Weekly Low: 1276.82
Previous Monthly High: 1284.7
Previous Monthly Low: 1221.39
Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1285.07
Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1290.17
Previous Daily Pivot Point S1: 1275.09
Previous Daily Pivot Point S2: 1265.15
Previous Daily Pivot Point S3: 1253.48
Previous Daily Pivot Point R1: 1296.69
Previous Daily Pivot Point R2: 1308.36
Previous Daily Pivot Point R3: 1318.3
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