Generally speaking, two sectors that do well in a US recession are consumer staples and healthcare stocks. Although consumer disposable income may fall people will still make consumer staple purchases, often in more discount focus stores like Walmart and Costco. The health care sector still remains robust in a recession since consumers still keep up health care payments and prioritise health treatments as far as possible.
You can use Seasonax to screen these different sectors of the S&P500 in order to find strong seasonal patterns like in Gilead Sciences, an American biopharmaceutical company. Over the last 10 years, Gilead Sciences had an annualised return of 47.12%.
Major trade risks: The major risks are from any particularly negative news for Gilead sciences.
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