|

GBPUSD marches towards two-month high at 1.1740 amid euphoric market mood, UK GDP eyed

  • GBPUSD is advancing towards 1.1738 as a decline in US inflation has trimmed hawkish Fed bets.
  • Bloodbath in US Treasury yields and cheerful market mood have underpinned risk-sensitive currencies.
  • Going forward, the UK GDP data will be of utmost importance.

The GBPUSD pair is advancing firmly to kiss the two-month high at 1.1738 in the early Tokyo session. A significant drop in the US inflationary pressures has infused an adrenaline rush into risk-sensitive assets. Euphoria in the market mood has improved the risk appetite of investors vigorously.

S&P500 soared like there is no tomorrow as mounting price pressures in the US economy have been hammered. A meaningful decline in price growth has trimmed downside risks to economic projections and the risk of a recession situation. Earlier, economists were expecting that continuous policy tightening measures by the Federal Reserve (Fed) would shift the US economy into a recession. And, when the US sneezes, developing countries catch a cold.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) nose-dived to 107.80 as every chance of a risk-off impulse in the market was kicked-off. The returns on US government bonds remained a major victim as long-term bonds’ yields have witnessed a bloodbath and have dropped to 3.8%.

The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) has dropped to 7.7% vs. the projections of 8.0% and the core CPI declined to 6.3% against the expectations of 6.5%. This has paused chatters of a higher terminal rate by the Fed as price pressures have displayed signs of significant exhaustion. Also, rumors of recession and bleak economic outlook may dim as Fed chair Jerome Powell won’t continue the 75 basis points (bps) rate hike cycle.

On Friday, US markets will remain closed on account of Veterans Day.

Talking on the UK front, investors are focusing on the UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will release on Friday. The GDP data on an annual basis is seen lower at 2.1% vs. the prior release of 4.4%. And, the quarterly regime is expected to display negative growth by 0.5% against an expansion of 0.2%.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1721
Today Daily Change0.0373
Today Daily Change %3.29
Today daily open1.1348
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1388
Daily SMA501.1327
Daily SMA1001.167
Daily SMA2001.2284
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1567
Previous Daily Low1.1334
Previous Weekly High1.1614
Previous Weekly Low1.1147
Previous Monthly High1.1646
Previous Monthly Low1.0924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1423
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1478
Daily Pivot Point S11.1266
Daily Pivot Point S21.1183
Daily Pivot Point S31.1033
Daily Pivot Point R11.1499
Daily Pivot Point R21.165
Daily Pivot Point R31.1732

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump strikes Venezuela, claims President Maduro was captured and flown out of the country

United States (US) President Donald Trump has fulfilled his threats and finally struck Venezuela. Different media reports that explosions in Caracas began around 1:50 am local time on Saturday, leaving multiple areas of the city without power.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).