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GBP/USD’s rebound from 1.3000 loses steam at 1.3075

  • The sterling fails to regain 1.3100, remains near mid-term lows.
  • Pound's recovery falters despite BoE rate hike expectations. 
  • GBP/USD's downtrend could extend to 1.2500 – Scotiabank.

The pound sterling remains slightly positive on Monday, buoyed by a moderate risk appetite, although its rebound from lows near 1.3000 has been capped below 1.3075.

Cable remains bearish at 16-month lows

The GBP/USD is trapped within a wider bearish trend following a three-week sell-off. The pair has depreciated nearly 5% from late February highs at 1.3640, reaching levels right above the 1.3000 mark for the first time since November 2020.

The sterling has seen a moderate increase on demand on Monday, favoured by a somewhat weaker dollar amid a mild sentiment improvement on the back of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. Beyond that, investors’ expectations that the Bank of England’s will hike interest rates at next Thursday’s meeting have also been supportive of the GBP.

GBP/USD might extend its decline towards 1.2500 ­– Scotiabank

Regarding the near-term expectations, the FX Analysis Team at Scotiabank sees the pound extending its downtrend: “Cable aims for a break under 1.30. Sterling faces no clear support until the mid-1.28s that marked the lows of Oct/Nov of 2020, with losses possibly mounting quickly toward 1.25.”

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3053
Today Daily Change0.0018
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open1.3035
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3382
Daily SMA501.3485
Daily SMA1001.3452
Daily SMA2001.3626
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3125
Previous Daily Low1.3028
Previous Weekly High1.3246
Previous Weekly Low1.3028
Previous Monthly High1.3644
Previous Monthly Low1.3273
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3065
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3088
Daily Pivot Point S11.3
Daily Pivot Point S21.2965
Daily Pivot Point S31.2903
Daily Pivot Point R11.3098
Daily Pivot Point R21.316
Daily Pivot Point R31.3195

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