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GBP/USD trades in lower half of tight daily range near 1.3030

  • Annual CPI in the UK stays unchanged at 1.9% in March.
  • US Dollar Index fails to move away from 97 for the third straight day.
  • Trade deficit narrows more than expected in the U.S.

The GBP/USD pair is having a difficult time setting its next short-term direction on Wednesday and fluctuating in a 30-pip range amid a lack of Brexit headlines, which have been the primary driver of the British pound's market action. As of writing, the pair was down 0.11% on the day at 1.3034.

Earlier today, the data published by the UK's Office for National Statistics revealed that the inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, rose 0.2% and 1.9% on a monthly and yearly basis, respectively, and both figures fell short of the market expectation. Further details of the report revealed that the Retail Price Index and the Producer Price Index (output) both stayed unchanged.

Although these data put the GBP under modest selling pressure, the dismal mood surrounding the greenback didn't allow the pair to post meaningful losses. 

Despite the fact that the U.S. Census Bureau reported a lower-than-expected trade deficit in February, the US Dollar Index failed to gain traction and extended its sideways movement near the 97 mark, where it was down 0.06% on a daily basis.

With the UK Parliament in Easter recess, participants are unlikely to see any Brexit headlines in the remainder of the week. On the other hand, tomorrow's economic docket will feature retails sales from both the UK and the U.S.

Previewing the UK sales data, "In case of sales meeting expectations and drop at a moderate scale, there is more room to the downside than the upside. In case of a worse deterioration in consumers' behavior, the pair could fall at a faster clip. It would take a substantial upside surprise to trigger a rise, especially a sustainable one," FXStreet Analyst Yohay Elam said.

Technical levels to consider

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3034
Today Daily Change-0.0015
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open1.3049
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3109
Daily SMA501.3096
Daily SMA1001.295
Daily SMA2001.297
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3112
Previous Daily Low1.3043
Previous Weekly High1.3133
Previous Weekly Low1.303
Previous Monthly High1.3384
Previous Monthly Low1.296
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3069
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3086
Daily Pivot Point S11.3024
Daily Pivot Point S21.2999
Daily Pivot Point S31.2955
Daily Pivot Point R11.3093
Daily Pivot Point R21.3137
Daily Pivot Point R31.3162

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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