|

GBP/USD testing offers near 1.3500 as Brexit concerns intensify

  • GBP/USD consolidates the recovery below 1.3500 as a new week kicks in.
  • The UK is set to trigger Article 16, as Brexit risks intensify.
  • The US dollar could benefit amid potential risk-aversion, ahead of Fedspeak.

GBP/USD appears to pause its recovery from two-month lows of 1.3424 in early Asian dealings on Monday, as Brexit concerns are seen returning, spoiling the party for the GBP trading.

Brexit woes back in play

The 1.3500 remains a tough nut to crack for the GBP bulls, as the Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney warned against the UK government’s readiness to trigger Article 16 of Northern Ireland. Coveney said that doing so could lead to a trade dispute between the European Union (EU) and the Kingdom.

Further, the Bank of England’s (BOE) status-quo on the interest rates decision last week combined with Governor Andrew Bailey's cautious stance will continue to remain a weight on the major, despite the recent pullback in the US dollar across the board.

On Friday, the US dollar corrected sharply from the yearly highs against its major peers, tracking the sell-off in the Treasury yields, as investors reassessed the Fed’s tightening bets after Chair Jerome Powell said that they are patient on the rate hike last Wednesday.

However, with the Brexit woes back, GBP/USD’s recovery is likely to remain at risk, with Bailey’s speech and Fedspeak awaited later on Monday.\

Separately, the much-trumpeted free trade agreements (FTAs) “barely scratch the surface of the UK’s challenge to make up the GDP lost by leaving the EU”, according to an analysis commissioned by The Independent from top academics at the University of Sussex UK Trade Policy Observatory.

GBP/USD: Additional levels to consider

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3488
Today Daily Change-0.0011
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open1.3499
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3693
Daily SMA501.3701
Daily SMA1001.3761
Daily SMA2001.3849
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3509
Previous Daily Low1.3424
Previous Weekly High1.3698
Previous Weekly Low1.3424
Previous Monthly High1.3834
Previous Monthly Low1.3434
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3477
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3457
Daily Pivot Point S11.3446
Daily Pivot Point S21.3393
Daily Pivot Point S31.3361
Daily Pivot Point R11.353
Daily Pivot Point R21.3562
Daily Pivot Point R31.3615

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Bulls pray for a dovish Fed

EUR/USD has finally taken a breather after a pretty energetic climb. The pair broke above 1.1680 in the second half of the week, reaching its highest levels in around two months before running into some selling pressure. Even so, it has gained almost two cents from the late-November dip just below 1.1500 the figure.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold: Bullish momentum fades despite broad USD weakness

After rising more than 3.5% in the previous week, Gold has entered a consolidation phase and fluctuated at around $4,200. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and revised Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the dot plot, could trigger the next directional move in XAU/USD. 

Week ahead: Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low. Dollar weakness could linger; both the aussie and the yen best positioned to gain further. Gold and oil eye Ukraine-Russia developments; a peace deal remains elusive.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.