|

GBP/USD technical analysis: 200-hour SMA, overbought RSI doubt recent recovery

  • EU election results propel prices on the UK holiday.
  • Overbought RSI and near-term resistance-line can question upside.

In spite of trading at the highest levels in a week, GBP/USD upside is being challenged by overbought RSI and 200-hour SMA around 1.2745/50 while heading into the European open on Monday.

As a result, chances of the quote’s pullback to 1.2730 and then to 1.2710 including 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of pair’s declines past-May 10 can’t be ruled out.

During the pair’s addition declines under 1.2710, 1.2650, 1.2625 and 1.2600 might become bears’ favorites.

On the contrary, ignorance of 200-hour simple moving average (SMA) and overbought levels of the relative strength index (RSI) can escalate the pair’s rise to 1.2760 and last week’s high near 1.2815.

Further, pair’s sustained rise beyond 1.2815 can push buyers to target 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2830 ahead of making them confront 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.2880 and 1.2905 resistances.

GBP/USD hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2741
Today Daily Change30 pips
Today Daily Change %0.24%
Today daily open1.2711
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2905
Daily SMA501.3009
Daily SMA1001.3016
Daily SMA2001.2957
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2733
Previous Daily Low1.2647
Previous Weekly High1.2815
Previous Weekly Low1.2605
Previous Monthly High1.3196
Previous Monthly Low1.2865
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.27
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.268
Daily Pivot Point S11.2661
Daily Pivot Point S21.2611
Daily Pivot Point S31.2574
Daily Pivot Point R11.2747
Daily Pivot Point R21.2783
Daily Pivot Point R31.2834

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps the rangebound trade near 1.1850

EUR/USD is still under pressure, drifting back towards the 1.1850 area as Monday’s session draws to a close. The modest decline in spot comes as the US Dollar picks up a bit of support, while thin liquidity and muted volatility, thanks to the US market holiday, are exaggerating price swings and keeping trading conditions choppy.
 

GBP/USD trades with negative bias, eyes 1.3600 ahead of UK jobs data

The GBP/USD pair trades with a negative bias for the second straight day, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 1.3600 mark through the Asian session on Tuesday. Traders now look forward to the release of the UK monthly jobs report, which will influence the British Pound and provide some impetus to the currency pair.

Gold sticks to a negative bias below $5,000; lacks bearish conviction

Gold remains depressed for the second consecutive day and trades below the $5,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Tuesday, as a positive risk tone is seen undermining safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, bets for more interest rate cuts by the Fed keep a lid on the recent US Dollar bounce and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion, warranting caution for bearish traders ahead of FOMC minutes on Wednesday.

AI Crypto Update: Bittensor eyes breakout as AI tokens falter 

The artificial intelligence (AI) cryptocurrency segment is witnessing heightened volatility, with top tokens such as Near Protocol (NEAR) struggling to gain traction amid the persistent decline in January and February.

US CPI is cooling but what about inflation?

The January CPI data give the impression that the Federal Reserve is finally winning the war against inflation. Not only was the data cooler than expected, but it’s also beginning to edge close to the mystical 2 percent target. CBS News called it “the best inflation news we've had in months.”

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.