|

GBP/USD: Sustained gains seem likely above 1.2580 – UOB

GBP/USD is seen accelerating its uptrend once 1.2580 is cleared, suggest Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang and Economist Lee Sue Ann at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: Yesterday, we held the view that “there is room for GBP to rise to 1.2325 before the risk of a pullback increases.” While GBP rose as expected, it not only blew past 1.2325 but also broke above several other resistance levels as it rocketed to a high of 1.2506. The outsized rally is severely overstretched, but GBP could rise to 1.2530 before levelling off. The major resistance at 1.2580 is unlikely to come under threat for now. Support is at 1.2450, followed by 1.2400. 

Next 1-3 weeks: Our latest narrative was from last Thursday (09 Nov, spot at 1.2285), wherein GBP is likely to trade in a range of 1.2180/1.2400. The rangetrading phase is clearly over after GBP jumped and blew past several resistance levels in a row in NY trade. While GBP is likely to continue to advance, it has to break clearly above 1.2580 before a further sustained rise is likely. The chance of GBP breaking clearly above 1.2580 will remain intact as long as it stays above 1.2350 (current level of ‘strong support’).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold aims to regain the ground lost

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).