|

GBP/USD supported at 1.3015, eyes on UK Q2 GDP for fresh direction

Fresh bids emerged once again near 1.3015 region in the Asian trades, allowing a tepid-bounce in GBP/USD back towards 1.3050 levels.

However, further upside appears to lack follow-through, as the bulls turn in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the UK Q2 prelim GDP release due out on Wednesday.

Attention turns to UK GDP report

The preliminary figures for the second quarter UK GDP are expected to have accelerated to 0.3% q/q versus 0.2% seen last, while on annualized basis, the pace of expansion seems to have eased to 1.7% versus 2.0%.

The mixed GDP numbers could keep the pullback restricted from 1.2930 levels, while the greenback finds fresh signs of life from strong US manufacturing PMIs. However, the main risk event for the major this week will remain the FOMC policy decision, with markets widely expecting the Fed to announce the start of the balance sheet normalization process from September.

In the meantime, Cable will take cues from the UK’s CBI industrial orders data and US consumer confidence gauge for some trading impetus. Also, of note will be BOE MPC member Haldane’s speech due later in the NA session.

GBP/USD levels to consider             

To the upside, resistances are aligned at 1.3053/57 (Jul 19 & 24 high), 1.3100 (round figure) and 1.3150 (psychological levels). On the flipside, 1.2972 (20-DMA) guards the next support of 1.2881 (50-DMA), below which 100-DMA support at 1.2830 lie.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with weekly lows near 1.1770

EUR/USD now comes under further selling pressure, breaking below the 1.1800 support to challenge the area of weekly throughs near 1.1770 on Thursday. The pair’s decline comes in response to marked gains in the US Dollar amid steady geopolitical tensions. Ealier in the day, the ECB’s Lagarde delivered cautious remarks, although the currency remained apathetic.

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.