GBP/USD struggles to grasp 1.2700 in frothy Thursday trading

GBP/USD leaning flat on Thursday as pair grapples with 1.2700
UK data broadly beat market forecasts, but US data dominated the flow.
US ADP employment surged higher in December, thumping expectations.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The GBP/USD is whipsawing on Thursday, ticking into an intraday high of 1.2730 before getting forced lower by US Dollar (USD) flows dragging the Pound Sterling (GBP) back below the 1.2700 handle. The pair is set to end Thursday near flat as markets gear up for another print of US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) due on Friday.

UK economic data broadly beat the street early Thursday, printing in the green across the board, headlined by a jump in Mortgage Approvals and a higher clip than expected in UK S&P Global/CIPS Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in December, but with all data strictly low-impact, the Cable struggled to develop meaningful momentum on the clean beat across the data docket.

Low-impact UK data gets overshadowed by US labor data, looming US NFP

US ADP Employment Change in December surged higher, adding 164K new jobs for the month and handily beating the forecast 115K and November’s 101K print (revised slightly lower from 103K). Market participants are scrambling to readjust their US NFP forecasts for Friday’s official employment report, but widening deviations between Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) figures and privately gathered ‘preview prints’ render direct correlation calculations a quagmire.

US Initial Jobless Claims also improved for the week ended December 29, showing 202K new unemployment benefits claims versus the forecast 216K, a significant recovery from the previous week’s 220K initial benefits claims (revised slightly higher from 218K).

Friday’s US NFP is currently forecast to step down from November’s 199K to 170K in December, and December’s annualized Average Hourly Earnings growth is expected to tick down slightly from 4.0% to 3.9% MoM.

GBP/USD Technical Outlook

The GBP/USD is snarled in intraday congestion as the 1.2700 handle hardens into a hard barrier, with bids capped by the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 1.2710 while the 50-hour SMA rises into 1.2660 to constrain near-term chart action.

Momentum behind the Pound Sterling is beginning to evaporate, and the GBP/USD is threatening to get trapped in congestion on daily candlesticks as the 50-day SMA prepares to confirm a bullish cross of the 200-day SMA just south of 1.2550, and the immediate technical ceiling sits at last week’s peak bids near 1.2825.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.2683
Today Daily Change	0.0019
Today Daily Change %	0.15
Today daily open	1.2664

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2672
Daily SMA50	1.252
Daily SMA100	1.2448
Daily SMA200	1.2534

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2677
Previous Daily Low	1.2616
Previous Weekly High	1.2828
Previous Weekly Low	1.2685
Previous Monthly High	1.2828
Previous Monthly Low	1.2501
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2654
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.2639
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.2628
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.2591
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.2566
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.2689
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.2713
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.275

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 as US employment data weigh on USD

EUR/USD gains traction and rises toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD clings to gains above 1.3400

GBP/USD stays in positive territory above 1.3400 on Tuesday. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures, allowing the pair to hold its ground.

Gold recovers above $4,300 as markets assess US jobs data

Gold reverses its direction and recovers above $4,300 after spending the first half of the day under bearish pressure. The renewed US Dollar weakness after the jobs report showed that the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.6% in November helps XAU/USD push higher in the American session.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to point to cooling labor market in November

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October and November on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT. Economists expect Nonfarm Payrolls to rise by 40,000 in November. The Unemployment Rate is likely to remain unchanged at 4.4% during the same period.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.