|

GBP/USD slips below 1.30 as traders brace for FOMC’s decision

  • GBP/USD drops 0.20% to 1.2971, retreating from a daily high above 1.30 as the US Dollar strengthens.
  • Markets price in 57 bps of Fed rate cuts, but Trump’s trade policies could delay the easing cycle.
  • BoE expected to hold rates at 4.5%, while UK labor data remains in focus for future monetary policy shifts.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is dropping 0.20% against the Greenback during the North American session as traders await the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy decision. Investors are also looking for an update on economic projections, which could lay the blueprint for what the Fed might do in the upcoming months. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2971 after hitting a daily high above 1.30.

Greenback strength and Fed uncertainty weigh on Sterling ahead of key policy updates

The market mood is mixed, with United States (US) equities trading in the green while European ones are not doing so well. The US economic schedule is absent and market players are awaiting the Fed’s decision at 18:00 GMT.

Traders had priced the Fed to ease policy by 57 basis points (bps) throughout the year. Nevertheless, President Donald Trump's inflation-prone US trade policies could prevent the US central bank from continuing its rate-cutting cycle and waiting to assess the impact on the economy.

So far, an Atlanta Fed model updated on Tuesday shows that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected to contract 1.8% in Q1 2025.

Aside from this, the recovery of the Greenback halted Cable’s gains above 1.30. As of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s performance versus a basket of six other currencies, posted gains of 0.40%, up at 103.65.

Across the pond, United Kingdom (UK) labor market data will be cautiously dissected by market players ahead of the Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy decision. The BoE is expected to hold rates at 4.5%, according to money market futures data.

GBP/USD Price Chart: Technical outlook

GBP/USD continued to trend up steadily, with no volatile movements so far, as traders await the Fed’s decision. On the upside, key resistance levels lie at 1.3009, the current year-to-date (YTD) peak, followed by November’s 6 high at 1.3047 and 1.31. Momentum shows that neither buyers nor sellers are in charge, as depicted by a flat Relative Strength Index (RSI) near overbought territory.

Conversely, the pair could extend its losses toward 1.2911, the March 17 swing low, ahead of the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2795.

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.55%0.28%0.39%0.17%0.44%0.58%0.42%
EUR-0.55% -0.28%-0.18%-0.38%-0.10%0.03%-0.13%
GBP-0.28%0.28% 0.10%-0.10%0.18%0.30%0.13%
JPY-0.39%0.18%-0.10% -0.23%0.05%0.16%0.02%
CAD-0.17%0.38%0.10%0.23% 0.29%0.43%0.23%
AUD-0.44%0.10%-0.18%-0.05%-0.29% 0.12%-0.00%
NZD-0.58%-0.03%-0.30%-0.16%-0.43%-0.12% -0.17%
CHF-0.42%0.13%-0.13%-0.02%-0.23%0.00%0.17% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Bears retain control below 1.1780-1.1770 confluence breakpoint

The EUR/USD pair remains on the back foot through the Asian session on Friday and currently trades just above mid-1.1700s, well within striking distance of a nearly one-month low set the previous day.

GBP/USD seems vulnerable near one-month low vs. USD as traders await US data

The GBP/USD pair prolongs its weekly downtrend for the fifth consecutive day on Friday and slides back closer to a nearly one-month low, touched the previous day. Spot prices trade below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session on Friday and seem vulnerable to slide further as traders now look to important US macro data for a fresh impetus.

Gold eyes next breakout on US GDP, PCE inflation data

Gold sticks to recent gains around the $5,000-mark early Friday, biding time before the high-impact US macro events. The focus is now on the US fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product, core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index and the Supreme Court’s ruling on President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain range-bound as breakdown risks rise

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are trading sideways within consolidation ranges on Friday, signaling a lack of directional bias in the broader crypto market. BTC rebounded from key support, and ETH is nearing the lower consolidation boundary, while XRP is holding at its lower trendline boundary. 

Hawkish Fed minutes and a market finding its footing

It was green across the board for US Stock market indexes at the close on Wednesday, with most S&P 500 names ending higher, adding 38 points (0.6%) to 6,881 overall. At the GICS sector level, energy led gains, followed by technology and consumer discretionary, while utilities and real estate posted the largest losses.

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments.