|

GBP/USD risks extra pullbacks near term – UOB

Further losses appear in store for GBP/USD in the short-term horizon, suggest Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: Last Friday, we expected GBP to trade in a range of 1.2835/1.2930. However, GBP traded in a lower range of 1.2817/1.2904 before closing slightly lower at 1.2852 (-0.12%). Despite the lower trading range, there is no clear increase in downward momentum. We continue to expect GBP to trade in a range, probably between 1.2815 and 1.2895. 

Next 1-3 weeks: Last Thursday (20 Jul, spot at 1.2935), we highlighted that the decline in GBP had room to extend. However, we indicated that GBP “has to break clearly below 1.2850 before a sustained decline is likely.” After GBP broke below the strong support at 1.2850, we highlighted last Friday (21 Jul, spot at 1.2875) that GBP could drop further. We indicated that there is another solid support at 1.2780. We continue to hold the same view. Overall, only a breach of 1.2960 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 1.3000 last Friday) would indicate that GBP is not weakening further.  

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds above 1.3450 despite Mideast uncertainty

GBP/USD trades flat on the day above 1.3450 following the bearish action seen in the early European session on Thursday. Conflicting rhetoric from US and Iranian officials about a potential deal fuels market concerns and limits the pair's upside, while investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of Friday's critical Nonfarm Payrolls data from the US.

EUR/USD declines below 1.1550 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD corrects lower after posting gains for two consecutive days and trades below 1.1550 in the second half of the day on Thursday. Markets stay wary about the prospects of a US-Iran peace deal and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, keeping the safe-haven USD underpinned and making it difficult for the pair to regain its traction.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

Top Altcoins: Ripple, Cardano, and Solana vulnerable to deeper losses

Ripple, Cardano, and Solana are trading in the red on Thursday, facing downside pressure. The technical outlook for altcoins is bearish, as XRP risks falling below $1.00, ADA is eyeing the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $0.1766, and SOL remains capped below a cluster of resistance levels.

AI defies the disinflationary playbook: Why lower oil prices might not be enough to cool core inflation
The global economic landscape has been fixated on the Middle East since the US-Iran war started in late February, reacting to significant changes in crude Oil prices and assessing how they could influence inflation dynamics and growth outlook.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.