|

GBP/USD reverses the post-NFP dip, flat-lines above 1.2500 amid subdued USD price action

  • GBP/USD edges lower in reaction to the upbeat headline NFP print, albeit lacks follow-through.
  • The mixed US jobs data adds to uncertainty over the next policy move by the Federal Reserve.
  • The risk-on impulse to cap the US and lend support to the pair amid bets for more BoE rate hikes.

The GBP/USD pair pulls back from a two-and-half-week high, around the 1.2545 region, touched this Friday and extends its steady intraday descent through the early North American session. Spot prices slip below the 1.2500 psychological mark, hitting a fresh daily low in reaction to the mixed US employment details, albeit lacks follow-through and recovers a few pips in the last hour.

The US Dollar (USD) gains some positive traction in reaction to the upbeat headline NFP print and turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. In fact, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the economy added 339K new jobs in May as compared to the 170K estimated and the previous month's upwardly revised reading of 294K. Additional details, however, revealed that the Unemployment Rate, meanwhile, rose to 3.7% as compared to an expected uptick to 3.5% from 3.4% in April.

Furthermore, Average Hourly Earnings, edged lower to 4.3% from 4.4%, further raising uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next policy move. It is worth recalling that the markets have been pricing in the possibility of another 25 bps lift-off at the June FOMC policy meeting. That said, a slew of influential Fed officials this week backed the case for skipping an interest rate hike. This, along with the risk-on impulse, holds back traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around the safe-haven buck and lends support to the GBP/USD pair.

The British Pound, on the other hand, continues to draw support from rising bets for additional interest rate hikes by the Bank of England, bolstered by stronger-than-expected UK consumer inflation figures for May. This makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that the GBP/USD pair's recent bounce from the 1.2300 mark, or a two-and-half-month low touched last week has run its course. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register strong weekly gains and snap a three-week losing streak.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2514
Today Daily Change-0.0010
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open1.2524
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2472
Daily SMA501.2449
Daily SMA1001.2298
Daily SMA2001.1991
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.254
Previous Daily Low1.2401
Previous Weekly High1.2472
Previous Weekly Low1.2308
Previous Monthly High1.268
Previous Monthly Low1.2308
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2487
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2454
Daily Pivot Point S11.2437
Daily Pivot Point S21.235
Daily Pivot Point S31.2298
Daily Pivot Point R11.2575
Daily Pivot Point R21.2627
Daily Pivot Point R31.2714

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).