|

GBP/USD resilient amid mixed US inflation data, UK economic growth

  • US Producer Price Index (PPI) outpaces June, driving a temporary Greenback rally and GBP/USD dip.
  • University of Michigan poll indicates optimism on inflation’s decline post-Fed’s 525 bps rate hike.
  • UK’s economy outperforms forecasts, bolstering Bank of England’s rate hike stance amidst looming recession fears.

Late in the New York session, the Pound Sterling (GBP) continued to hold its ground against the US Dollar (USD) after UK’s economy grew more than expected, despite US elevated inflation on the producer side. Hence, the GBP/USD trades at 1.2697, gaining 0.16%.

Wall Street wavers as mixed US inflation data clashes with UK’s unexpected economic surge

Wall Street is set to finish the session with losses after the United States (US) inflation data posted mixed results. Consumers’ inflation climbed above the prior’s month but below estimates, sparking speculations on the Federal Reserve (Fed) ending its tightening cycle, but data on Friday changed investors’ minds.

The US Department of Labor showed the prices paid by producers, known as the Producer Price Index (PPI), exceeded June’s readings, spurring a Greenback rally; consequently, the GBP/USD weakened.

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment poll, revealed that US consumer sentiment slightly deteriorated. Still, Americans remained positive on inflation lowering after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) increased 525 bps its borrowing costs, with inflation expected to dive below 3% on a five-year horizon.

Across the Atlantic, UK’s economy surprisingly grew above estimates, justifying the Bank of England’s (BoE) need to raise rates amidst stubbornly high inflation. Nevertheless, next week’s inflation data can lend a lifeline to the BoE if it shows signs of slowing down as the UK’s economy is still at the brisk of a recession.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

GBP/USD Daily chart

The GBP/USD breaking to a new weekly high, above 1.2800 but reversing its gains on soft US inflation data, has exacerbated GBP/USD’s pullback, extending beneath the 1.2700 figure. If  GBP/USD remains below the latter and achieves a daily close, that would cement Sterling’s (GBP) faith. That said, the GBP/USD first support would emerge at 1.2666, followed by the August 3 daily low of 1.2620, ahead of sliding towards 1.2500. Conversely, if GBP/USD’s buyers reclaim 1.2700, it would be cheered by buyers, which could remain hopeful of targeting 1.2800, ahead of challenging the July 27 daily high at 1.2995.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2695
Today Daily Change0.0019
Today Daily Change %0.15
Today daily open1.2676
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2844
Daily SMA501.276
Daily SMA1001.2604
Daily SMA2001.2344
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2819
Previous Daily Low1.267
Previous Weekly High1.2873
Previous Weekly Low1.2621
Previous Monthly High1.3142
Previous Monthly Low1.2659
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2727
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2762
Daily Pivot Point S11.2624
Daily Pivot Point S21.2573
Daily Pivot Point S31.2475
Daily Pivot Point R11.2773
Daily Pivot Point R21.2871
Daily Pivot Point R31.2922

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?
The Euro is not the sick man of Europe. France's bond market is
EUR/USD remains under pressure, near the 17-month low of 1.1161 reached on Monday. The pair has lost more than 7% since its yearly peak, as concerns over France's public finances increasingly weigh on the single currency. But behind the weakness of the Euro (EUR), the problem does not necessarily lie with the European economy as a whole.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?