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GBP/USD remains under pressure below the 1.2670 area, investors await UK inflation data, FOMC Minutes

  • GBP/USD extends its downside around 1.2665 in the Asian session on Monday.
  • The UK growth rate unexpectedly grew to 0.5% MoM in June, versus the market consensus of 0.2%.
  • The US Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY grew by 0.8% in July from 0.1% in June.
  • Market players await the UK inflation data, US Retail Sales and FOMC Minutes.

The GBP/USD pair remains under pressure and trades in a negative territory for the fourth consecutive week. The major pair currently trades around 1.2665, down 0.23% for the day. The upbeat UK data fails to lift the Pound Sterling as investors are concerned about the possibility of a further rate hike that would impact the UK economy.  

On Friday, the UK economy grew unexpectedly by 0.5% MoM in June, versus market consensus of 0.2% and a 0.1% decline in the previous month. Additionally, UK Industrial Production rose 1.8% on a monthly basis in June, above the expectation of a 0.1% increase and a 0.6% drop prior. Lastly, Manufacturing Output came in at 2.4% m/m, better than expected of 0.2% and 0.1% drop in the previous reading.

The stronger UK economic data increases the odds that the Bank of England (BoE) will raise the additional interest rate. However, market participants are cautious about the BoE move as the UK economy is fragile and the interest rate is at a 15-year high of 5.25%. The aggressive monetary policy could have a negative impact on the UK economy. However, the UK inflation data and wage figures due later this week, will offer hints for the BoE decision in the next meeting.

On the US Dollar front, the US Bureau of Labour Statistics reported on Friday that the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand YoY rose 0.8% in July from 0.1% in June. The figure was higher than the market expectation of 0.7%. Additionally, the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for July fell to 71.2 from 71.6, better than 71 expected. Finally, UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectations declined to 2.9% for August versus 3.0% estimated and prior.

Looking ahead, the UK Claimant Count Change for July, Consumer Price Index (CPI), and Retail Sales MoM will be released from the UK docket later this week. On the other hand, investors will also focus on US Retail Sales, FOMC Minutes and the comment from the Fed official to take cues and find a clear direction in the GBP/USD pair.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2668
Today Daily Change-0.0028
Today Daily Change %-0.22
Today daily open1.2696
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2825
Daily SMA501.2764
Daily SMA1001.2609
Daily SMA2001.2351
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2739
Previous Daily Low1.2666
Previous Weekly High1.2819
Previous Weekly Low1.2666
Previous Monthly High1.3142
Previous Monthly Low1.2659
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2711
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2694
Daily Pivot Point S11.2662
Daily Pivot Point S21.2628
Daily Pivot Point S31.2589
Daily Pivot Point R11.2735
Daily Pivot Point R21.2773
Daily Pivot Point R31.2807

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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