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GBP/USD refreshes session lows, slides further below mid-1.4100s

  • GBP/USD retreated around 35 pips from daily swing highs amid a modest USD bounce.
  • An uptick in the US bond yields provided some respite to the USD bulls, at least for now.
  • The downside seems limited, warranting some caution before positioning for a sharp fall.

The GBP/USD pair witnessed some selling during the early European session and dropped to fresh daily lows, around the 1.4135 region in the last hour.

The pair struggled to capitalize on its modest uptick, instead met with some fresh supply near the 1.4170 area and has now retreated around 35 pips from daily tops. In the absence of a fresh fundamental catalyst, the pullback could be solely attributed to a modest US dollar rebound and some cross-driven weakness stemming from the EUR/GBP cross.

The greenback found some support from an uptick in the US Treasury bond yields, though expectations that the Fed will retain its ultra-lose policy stance for a longer period capped gains. Various FOMC officials reiterated that any spike in prices is more likely to be temporary and helped ease worries about runaway inflation in the US.

Investors now seem convinced with the Fed's stubbornly dovish view, which, in turn, led to the recent sharp fall in the US bond yields. In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond dropped to 1.56%, or multi-week lows on Tuesday, which along with softer US consumer confidence data dragged the USD Index to its lowest level since January.

On the other hand, the optimistic outlook for the UK economic recovery from the pandemic might continue to lend some support to the British pound. This might further act as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair and help limit any meaningful slide amid absent relevant market-moving economic releases, either from the UK or the US.

From a technical perspective, the good two-way price moves since the beginning of this week point to indecision over the GBP/USD pair's near-term trajectory. This further warrants some caution before placing any aggressive bets and positioning for any firm direction.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.4139
Today Daily Change-0.0015
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open1.4154
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.4042
Daily SMA501.3911
Daily SMA1001.3854
Daily SMA2001.3512
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.4211
Previous Daily Low1.4116
Previous Weekly High1.4234
Previous Weekly Low1.4077
Previous Monthly High1.4009
Previous Monthly Low1.3669
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.4152
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.4175
Daily Pivot Point S11.4109
Daily Pivot Point S21.4065
Daily Pivot Point S31.4014
Daily Pivot Point R11.4205
Daily Pivot Point R21.4256
Daily Pivot Point R31.43

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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