|

GBP/USD rebounds past 1.3300 as US-China tensions rattle US Dollar

  • GBP/USD gains 0.55% as investors sell USD amid trade uncertainty.
  • China demands full tariff rollback; US officials push back on compromise.
  • DXY drops to 99.45 as Fed officials strike a cautious, data-dependent tone.

The Pound Sterling recovered some ground versus the US Dollar on Thursday as market participants grew pessimistic about de-escalating the US-China trade war. Beijing is pressuring Washington to eliminate tariffs and has denied talks. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades above 1.3300 and gains 0.55%.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3300 as tariff standoff dents risk sentiment and weakens the US Dollar broadly

Price action remains dominated by the Greenback, which tumbled 0.32% as depicted by the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s performance against a basket of peers. The DXY is at 99.45 after hitting a daily peak of 99.84.

On Thursday, China’s Commerce Ministry spokesman urged the US to lift all duties on Chinese imports “if it really wants to solve the problem.”

Although US President Donald Trump was willing to begin negotiations, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent poured cold water on traders, saying that reducing tariffs unilaterally is not an option.

On the data front, US Durable Goods Orders soared in March from 0.9% to 9.2% sponsored by aircraft bookings. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending April 19 rose by 222K as expected, up from 216K in the previous reading.

A myriad of Fed speakers is crossing the wires. Cleveland’s Fed Beth Hammack said the US central bank could move in June if data warrants it, though she added that uncertainty is weighing on businesses and their planning. Fed Governor Christopher Waller echoed her words, though added that if the labor market weakens, “rate cuts could come from rising unemployment.”

Other data revealed that Existing Home Sales plunged -5.9% from 4.27 million to 4.02 million, impacted by higher borrowing costs.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Amid this backdrop, the GBP/USD is poised to extend its gains, though failure to reach a daily closing above Wednesday’s peak of 1.3338 could sponsor a pullback toward the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.3194.

However if buyers push the exchange rate past 1.3350, it will expose the 1.3400 figure, followed by the year-to-date (YTD) high of 1.3423. 

British Pound PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies this week. British Pound was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.26%-0.05%0.36%0.26%-0.23%-0.94%1.29%
EUR-0.26%-0.47%0.05%-0.05%-0.67%-1.23%1.01%
GBP0.05%0.47%0.70%0.43%-0.22%-0.77%1.48%
JPY-0.36%-0.05%-0.70%-0.08%-0.68%-1.15%0.98%
CAD-0.26%0.05%-0.43%0.08%-0.60%-1.18%1.05%
AUD0.23%0.67%0.22%0.68%0.60%-0.54%1.68%
NZD0.94%1.23%0.77%1.15%1.18%0.54%2.29%
CHF-1.29%-1.01%-1.48%-0.98%-1.05%-1.68%-2.29%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs close to monthly lows, still defends 0.7100 ahead of Fed decision

AUD/USD retains its negative bias for the third straight day, defending 0.7100 while trading close to a monthly low in Wednesday's Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar stands firm near a two-week high as the anticipated Fed rate hike and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to a multi-year high. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions benefit the safe-haven buck and weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie.

USD/JPY holds firm above 155.00, awaits Fed policy announcements

USD/JPY climbs to a fresh one-week high above 155.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday amid a bullish US Dollar. Oil-driven inflation fears, along with the anticipated Fed rate hike, continue to support surging US bond yields. Moreover, rising US-Iran tensions underpin the USD's reserve currency status. The pair, however, remains below the mid-155.00s as bulls seem hesitant ahead of the Fed decision later today and the BoJ meeting, starting on Thursday.

Gold traders seem noncommittal below $4,350; eyes Fed rate decision

Gold clings to modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session, albeit it lacks follow-through buying and remains below $4,350. The US Dollar eases from a two-week high amid some profit-taking, offering support to the commodity. Traders, however, seem hesitant to place aggressive directional bets and opt to wait on the sidelines heading into the key central bank event risk.

Cardano's bearish breakout warns of a 15% downside risk
Cardano (ADA) hovers around $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday after a 6% decline the previous day, breaking below a crucial support level. Declining on-chain activity across the Cardano ecosystem, with reduced transaction count and Real Economic Value (REV), suggests waning user demand.
Fed decision in focus

Starting with the most important, the Fed decision. Heading into the event, data showed a rather punchy US August jobs report, which, you will likely recall, triggered a hawkish Fed rate repricing in rates markets. However, the recent US August CPI print mattered more.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.