|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Snaps two-day uptrend as 200-day EMA probes buyers

  • GBP/USD fades bounce off the five-week-old support line, mildly offered of late.
  • Bearish MACD signals suggest another attempt to break short-term support.
  • Monthly horizontal resistance, December’s peak adds to the upside barriers.

GBP/USD renews its intraday low near 1.2070 during the first loss-making day in three, despite the market’s inaction during early Monday.

In doing so, the Cable pair takes a U-turn from the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to recall the bears. Also keeping the GBP/USD sellers hopeful are the bearish MACD signals,

It’s worth noting, however, that a one-month-old ascending support line, close to 1.2020 by the press time, restricts short-term GBP/USD downside.

Following that, the late November swing low near 1.1900 could act as the last defense of the GBP/USD.

In a case where GBP/USD remains bearish past 1.1900, the odds of witnessing a slump towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of September-December 2022 upside, near 1.1650, can’t be ruled out.

Alternatively, a clear upside break of the 200-day EMA level surrounding 1.2115 could propel GBP/USD towards a one-month-long resistance line, close to 1.2355 at the latest.

Should the GBP/USD bulls occupy the driver’s seat past 1.2355, the previous monthly peak surrounding 1.2450 should gain the market’s attention.

Overall, GBP/USD is likely to witness a downside but the room towards the south appears limited.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2069
Today Daily Change-0.0021
Today Daily Change %-0.17%
Today daily open1.209
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2158
Daily SMA501.1906
Daily SMA1001.1667
Daily SMA2001.2046
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2108
Previous Daily Low1.201
Previous Weekly High1.2126
Previous Weekly Low1.2002
Previous Monthly High1.2447
Previous Monthly Low1.1992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.207
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2047
Daily Pivot Point S11.203
Daily Pivot Point S21.1971
Daily Pivot Point S31.1933
Daily Pivot Point R11.2128
Daily Pivot Point R21.2167
Daily Pivot Point R31.2226

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).