|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Stumbles below 1.2900 on risk-off mood

  • GBP/USD tilts downward; key support at 1.2833 could open path to 200-day SMA at 1.2816.
  • Break below major support may shift bias bearish, targeting August low of 1.2664.
  • Buyers need a close above 100-day SMA at 1.2992 to regain momentum toward 1.3099.

The Pound Sterling begins the week on the back foot, tumbling over 0.30% against the Greenback amid fears that US President-Elect Donald Trump might impose tariffs, deteriorated risk appetite. Hence, the risk-sensitive GBP/USD pair fell below the 1.2900 figure, trading at 1.2876.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

From a technical perspective, the GBP/USD remains consolidated but slightly tilted to the downside. However, sellers must clear the November 6 swing low of 1.2833 to challenge the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2816. If those two support levels are cleared, the bias will shift bearish, and the pair can challenge major support at the August 9 daily low of 1.2664.

Conversely, GBP buyers need to lift the major above the 100-day SMA at 1.2992, shy of 1.30. Once surpassed, that could pave the way to testing the 50-day SMA at 1.3099.

Momentum remains bearishly biased as seen by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Still it consolidated at around familiar levels, hinting that sellers are not fully in charge.

GBP/USD Price Chart – Daily

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.62%0.35%0.68%0.27%0.11%-0.02%0.39%
EUR-0.62% -0.29%0.15%-0.24%-0.42%-0.54%-0.15%
GBP-0.35%0.29% 0.36%0.06%-0.13%-0.25%0.15%
JPY-0.68%-0.15%-0.36% -0.41%-0.64%-0.60%-0.28%
CAD-0.27%0.24%-0.06%0.41% -0.12%-0.30%0.09%
AUD-0.11%0.42%0.13%0.64%0.12% -0.15%0.27%
NZD0.02%0.54%0.25%0.60%0.30%0.15% 0.39%
CHF-0.39%0.15%-0.15%0.28%-0.09%-0.27%-0.39% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold aims to regain the ground lost

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).