|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Remains below 1.3450, nine-day EMA

  • GBP/USD sits below the nine-day EMA but above the 50-day EMA, straddling short- and medium-term trends.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 51.9 is neutral, indicating easing momentum after recent strength.
  • Staying above the 50-day line would maintain the positive bias and provide support on pullbacks.

GBP/USD remains subdued for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 1.3430 during the Asian hours on Friday. The momentum indicator 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 51.9 is neutral, reflecting slower momentum after firm recent readings. An RSI drop back beneath 50 would strengthen the case for a deeper pullback.

The GBP/USD pair straddles the short-term and medium-term trend filters, sitting below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) but above the 50-day EMA. The nine-day average remains above the 50-day EMA, yet its recent rollover caps upside traction.

The initial support lies at the 50-day EMA of at 1.3381. A daily close under the medium-term average would shift focus toward the eight-month low of 1.3010. Holding above the 50-day line would preserve the underlying positive tone and keep dips supported.

A break through the nine-day EMA at 1.3464 would expose the three-month high of 1.3562 as the next barrier. A daily close back over this confluence resistance zone could reassert the topside bias. Further advances would lead the GBP/USD pair to explore the region around the six-month high of 1.3726, followed by the 1.3788, the highest level since October 2021.

GBP/USD: Daily Chart

Pound Sterling Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the weakest against the Euro.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.03%0.01%0.19%0.05%-0.00%0.07%0.01%
EUR0.03%0.05%0.22%0.08%0.03%0.10%0.05%
GBP-0.01%-0.05%0.19%0.04%-0.02%0.05%-0.01%
JPY-0.19%-0.22%-0.19%-0.13%-0.19%-0.12%-0.18%
CAD-0.05%-0.08%-0.04%0.13%-0.06%0.00%-0.05%
AUD0.00%-0.03%0.02%0.19%0.06%0.07%0.01%
NZD-0.07%-0.10%-0.05%0.12%-0.01%-0.07%-0.06%
CHF-0.01%-0.05%0.00%0.18%0.05%-0.01%0.06%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD surrenders some gains, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD holds on to moderate gains above 1.3400 the figure on Friday. Optimism surrounding the UK government’s leadership transition and expectations of further BoE tightening support the British Pound, while easing tensions in the Middle East and fading Fed rate-hike expectations weigh on the US Dollar.

EUR/USD turns positive, targets 1.1450

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances toward the 1.1440 region on Friday, up modestly for the day. With no major economic data due, lingering uncertainty over the US-Iran conflict keeps investors cautious, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold remains offered, still below $4,100

Gold struggles to extend Thursday’s rebound and navigates below the $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Friday. Uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict limits the precious metal’s upside, which is also under pressure amid rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.