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GBP/USD Price Analysis: The next downside target is located at the 1.2600–1.2605 region

  • GBP/USD trades on a softer note below the mid-1.2600s on Thursday ahead of UK GDP growth numbers data. 
  • The pair keeps the bearish vibe below the key EMA; RSI indicator holds below the 50 midlines. 
  • The immediate resistance level will emerge at 1.2655; the initial support level is located at the 1.2600–1.2605 zone.

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive around 1.2630 on Thursday during the early European trading hours. The hawkish tone from Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller early Thursday has lifted the US Dollar (USD) broadly, which creates a headwind for the GBP/USD pair. 

The Fed’s Waller said the US central bank is in no rush to cut the benchmark rate and may need to “maintain the current rate target for longer than expected. Traders await the final UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth number for Q4 on Thursday, which is projected to contract 0.3% QoQ in Q4. 

From a technical perspective, GBP/USD maintains the bearish outlook unchanged as the major pair holds below the key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the four-hour chart. The downward momentum is confirmed by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which lies below the 50 midlines, supporting the sellers for the time being.

The first upside barrier for GBP/USD will emerge near the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 1.2655. A break above the latter will expose the 100-period EMA at 1.2685. Further north, the next hurdle is seen near a high of March 18 at 1.2746, followed by the psychological level of 1.2800. 

On the flip side, the initial support level of the major pair is located near the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at the 1.2600-1.2605 region. A breach of this level will pave the way to a low of March 22 at 1.2575. The next contention level to watch is a low of February 14 at 1.2535, en route to the 1.2500 round figure. 

GBP/USD four-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2632
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.2641
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2719
Daily SMA501.2679
Daily SMA1001.2649
Daily SMA2001.2591
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2641
Previous Daily Low1.2606
Previous Weekly High1.2804
Previous Weekly Low1.2575
Previous Monthly High1.2773
Previous Monthly Low1.2518
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2628
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2619
Daily Pivot Point S11.2617
Daily Pivot Point S21.2593
Daily Pivot Point S31.2581
Daily Pivot Point R11.2653
Daily Pivot Point R21.2665
Daily Pivot Point R31.2688

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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