|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Testing breakout of a rising channel pattern below 1.2550

  • GBP/USD is showing signs of exhaustion in the upside momentum after failing to extend the upside above 1.2583.
  • The risk profile is favoring risk-sensitive assets amid solid quarterly performance from US tech-savvy stocks.
  • GBP/USD has delivered a breakout of the Rising Channel chart pattern and is testing it with a minor correction to near 1.2546.

The GBP/USD pair is showing signs of exhaustion in the upside momentum after failing to extend the upside above 1.2583. The Cable has turned sideways around 1.2560 as investors are preparing for monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is scheduled for Wednesday.

The risk profile is favoring risk-sensitive assets as S&P500 futures are having minimal gains after a bullish Friday. Investors were gung-ho for United States equities after a solid quarterly performance from tech-savvy stocks.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is eyeing a further stretch in recovery above 101.80 as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates further to tame sticky core inflation. US Consumer spending is resilient amid higher outlays for services.

GBP/USD has delivered a breakout of the Rising Channel chart pattern on a two-hour scale. An upside break of the Rising Channel chart pattern indicates sheer strength in the Pound Sterling. The immediate support is plotted from April 14 high at 1.2546.

Advancing 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2530 indicates more upside ahead.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, hinting that the upside momentum is active for now.

A successful test of breakout near April 14 high at 1.2546 will drive the asset towards a fresh 10-month high at 1.2597, which is 08 June 2022 high. A breach of the latter will expose the asset to May 27 high at 1.2667.

On the flip side, a slippage below April 10 low at 1.2345 will expose the asset to March 30 low at 1.2294 followed by March 27 low at 1.2219.

GBP/USD two-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.255
Today Daily Change-0.0019
Today Daily Change %-0.15
Today daily open1.2569
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2451
Daily SMA501.2251
Daily SMA1001.2212
Daily SMA2001.194
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2584
Previous Daily Low1.2446
Previous Weekly High1.2584
Previous Weekly Low1.2387
Previous Monthly High1.2584
Previous Monthly Low1.2275
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2531
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2499
Daily Pivot Point S11.2482
Daily Pivot Point S21.2396
Daily Pivot Point S31.2345
Daily Pivot Point R11.262
Daily Pivot Point R21.267
Daily Pivot Point R31.2757

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trades below 1.3500 on firmer USD, ahead of UK GDP

The GBP/USD pair trades with a negative bias for the second consecutive day and trades below the 1.3500 psychological mark during the Asian session amid modest US Dollar strength. The downside potential, however, seems limited as traders might opt to wait for the UK macro data dump, including the Q2 GDP report, before placing directional bets.

EUR/USD advances as US Dollar weakens amid cooling Inflation

EUR/USD halts its three-day losing streak, trading around 1.1530 during the Asian hours. The currency pair gains ground as the US Dollar faces challenges following the release of July's Consumer Price Index report. Inflation in the US moderated across a broad range of goods and services, which significantly cooled expectations for an aggressive Federal Reserve rate hike in September.

Gold retreats from June 5 high amid oil-driven Fed rate-hike bets

Gold retreats after touching a fresh high since June 5, around the $4,450 area, during the Asian session, and is currently placed near the lower end of its daily range. The immediate market reaction to signs of moderating US inflation seems to have faded amid expectations that higher energy prices will rekindle inflationary pressures.

Ripple and Stellar outlook: Stay under pressure as cautious sentiment builds

Ripple and Stellar remain under pressure, with both altcoins correcting slightly so far this week. XRP nears the key $1.00 support zone on Thursday, while XLM trades below critical technical levels. Mixed derivatives and on-chain metrics suggest cautious sentiment, leaving both tokens vulnerable to further downside while offering hope for a potential recovery.

UK GDP expected to show moderate Q2 growth

The United Kingdom’s Office for National Statistics will release the preliminary estimate of the second-quarter Gross Domestic Product on Thursday. Market analysts anticipate a 0.4% growth in the three months to June, after a modest 0.6% advance in the first quarter of 2026. Annual progress is expected at 1.1%, up from the 0.9% posted in March.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.