|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Stays firm despite retreating at 1.2800 as bears loom

  • GBP/USD maintains gains at 1.2786, up 0.14% from daily high.
  • Resistance trendline and overbought RSI hint at potential correction.
  • Short-term bearish engulfing pattern signals possible downward pressure.

The British Pound demonstrated its resilience against the Greenback on Tuesday, maintaining its gains as traders in the UK and the US returned after a long weekend. The GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.2786, showing a steady increase of 0.14% from its daily high of 1.2800.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD tested the 1.2800 figure, yet a confluence of technical indicators with a downslope resistance trendline drawn from the highs of July 2023 and the March 21 cycle high at around 1.2803, pushed the exchange rate back to current spot prices. Momentum is in favor of buyers, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is about to turn overbought, hinting the pair could be headed for a correction.

In the short term, the GBP/USD hourly chart has formed a ‘bearish engulfing’ candle chart pattern, an indication that a leg-down is underway. Additionally, bullish momentum is fading as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aims toward the 50 midline, which, once crossed, could exert downward pressure on the major.

Key support levels lie at the current day’s low of1.2762, followed by the confluence of the 50-simple moving average (SMA) at 1.2759, followed by the confluence of the100-SMA and the S1 pivot point at around 1.2736/39, ahead of the 200-SMA at 1.2716.

Conversely, if buyers stepped in and pushed prices above 1.2803, look for a re-test of the year-to-date (YTD) high of 1.2893.

GBP/USD Price Action – Hourly Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2776
Today Daily Change0.0006
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open1.277
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2613
Daily SMA501.2582
Daily SMA1001.2634
Daily SMA2001.2541
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2778
Previous Daily Low1.2734
Previous Weekly High1.2761
Previous Weekly Low1.2676
Previous Monthly High1.2709
Previous Monthly Low1.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2761
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2751
Daily Pivot Point S11.2743
Daily Pivot Point S21.2716
Daily Pivot Point S31.2699
Daily Pivot Point R11.2787
Daily Pivot Point R21.2804
Daily Pivot Point R31.2831

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD jumps towards 1.1680 after the Fed’s announcement

The EUR/USD pair nears December's high at 1.1681 following the Fed’s decision to deliver a 25 basis points rate cut. Fed median projection maintains 25 bps of rate cuts in 2026.

GBP/USD pressures intraday highs as USD gains downward traction

GBP/USD gains upward traction as the USD eased following the Federal Reserve decision to trim the benchmark interest rate by 25 bps. FOMC divided, Summary of Economic Projections shows no relevant changes.

Gold maintains the status quo in the Fed’s aftermath

Gold prices ticked marginally higher after the US central bank's monetary policy announcement, trading just above the $4,200 mark. A better market mood limits demand for the safe-haven metal.

Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates as disagreement among officials grows

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, with markets widely expecting the US central bank to deliver a final 25 bps cut for 2025.

Q3 ECI: Cooling compensation growth a sign of jobs market softening

This morning's Employment Cost Index (ECI) reading offered additional evidence that the gradual softening in the labor market is translating to slower compensation growth.

Hyperliquid eyes $30 breakout despite declining staking balance

Hyperliquid is trading above $28.00 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after rebounding from support at $27.50. The broader cryptocurrency market is characterised by widespread intraday losses ahead of the Fed monetary policy decision.