|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Poised to resume downtrend, despite ‘morning star’ formation

  • GBP/USD dips slightly as higher US Treasury yields bolster the US Dollar, following upbeat US data.
  • Technical analysis shows GBP/USD at a pivotal point, with the potential to rise toward 1.2500 if it breaks past the April 23 high of 1.2458.
  • Key downside risks include a retreat to 1.2400 and possibly further to the April 22 low of 1.2299 if current resistance holds firm.

The Pound Sterling is experiencing slight losses against the US Dollar, largely due to the influence of high US Treasury yields that are bolstering the Greenback. This trend was fueled by the release of economic data, which showed that Durable Goods exceeded expectations, leading to a surge in US yields and a favorable environment for the USD. The GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.2444, reflecting a 0.04% decrease.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

After forming a ‘morning star,’ the GBP/USD is set to continue to print gains, but traders must decisively clear the April 23 high at 1.2458, which would pave the way toward 1.2500. Up next, the first crucial resistance level would be the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2561, followed by 1.2600.

On the other hand, if GBP/USD remains constrained by the April 23 high, that could pave the way for a retracement to 1.2400. A decisive break would expose April 22 low at 1.2299, which, once surpassed, could open the door to test an upslope support trendline drawn from March 2023 lows that pass at around 1.2250/60.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2441
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open1.2449
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2538
Daily SMA501.2629
Daily SMA1001.2652
Daily SMA2001.2563
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2459
Previous Daily Low1.2332
Previous Weekly High1.2499
Previous Weekly Low1.2367
Previous Monthly High1.2894
Previous Monthly Low1.2575
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.241
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.238
Daily Pivot Point S11.2368
Daily Pivot Point S21.2287
Daily Pivot Point S31.2241
Daily Pivot Point R11.2495
Daily Pivot Point R21.254
Daily Pivot Point R31.2621

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD meets support near 0.7150

AUD/USD comes under renewed and quite strong selling pressure ahead of the Asia opening bell on Friday, drifting back toward multi-day troughs near 0.7150, where it seems to have met some decent contention for now. The Aussie’s decline follows the inflation-reignited uptick in the Greenback in response to robust US factory-gate prices in August.


USD/JPY consolidates around 153.50 as bears turn cautious ahead of US inflation

USD/JPY stabilizes above 153.50 during the Asian session on Thursday, but remains near a seven-month low set earlier this week as hawkish BoJ repricing continues to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, rising September Fed rate-hike bets and escalating US-Iran tensions help ease US Dollar selling pressure, offering some support to the currency pair ahead of US inflation figures.

Gold remains weak, retargets $4,350

Gold keeps the choppy price action on Thursday, now slipping back toward the $4,350 region per troy ounce amid the robust bounce in the US Dollar as well as rising US Treasury yields across the curve, particularly following US Producer Prices and ahead of Friday’s more relevant US CPI data.

Bitcoin holds steady on positive ETF flows despite short-term holders cashing in

Bitcoin's exchange-traded funds (ETF) demand regime has notably shifted, with 30-day net inflows reaching $21.9 billion, according to a Thursday post by CryptoQuant. The data suggests that the average Bitcoin held through spot ETFs is now in profit, with the realized price of the ETF cohort standing at roughly $72,000 to $73,000.

ECB recap: A hawkish hike despite downside growth risks
The European Central Bank (ECB) increased the Deposit Facility Rate to 2.50%, the Refinancing Rate to 2.65% and the Marginal Lending Facility to 2.90%, effective from September 16. The decision was accompanied by a clear warning that the outlook remains highly uncertain, with risks tilted to the upside for inflation and to the downside for growth.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.