|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Holds positive ground below the mid-1.2500s, further upside looks favorable

  • GBP/USD gains traction near 1.2540 ahead of the US PMI data.
  • The pair holds above the 50- and 100-hour EMA; the RSI indicator stands in bullish territory above 50.
  • 1.2550 will be the first resistance level; the critical support level will emerge at 1.2525.

The GBP/USD pair gains ground to a two-month high of 1.2575 and then pulled back to 1.2540 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The uptick of the pair is supported by the stronger-than-expected UK S&P Global/CIPS PMI data for November. The attention will shift to the US S&P Global PMI data, due later on Friday.

On Thursday, the preliminary UK S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI grew unexpectedly in November, coming in at 50.1 in November from 48.7 in October, better than expected of 48.7. Additionally, the Manufacturing PMI improved to 46.7 versus 44.8 prior, while the Services PMI rose to 50.5 from 49.5 previously. The British Pound (GBP) surged against the US Dollar (USD) as the Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey suggested interest rates could remain higher for longer than priced by investors.

According to the four-hour chart, GBP/USD holds above the 50- and 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), suggesting the path of least resistance is to the upside. The upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 1.2550 will be the first resistance level for the pair. The next hurdle is seen near a high of November 23 at 1.2575. Further north, the upside target to watch is a high of September 4 at 1.2642, followed by a high of September 1 at 1.2713.

On the downside, the critical support level will emerge at 1.2525, portraying the confluence of the lower limit of the Bollinger Band and the 50-hour EMA. A break below the latter will pave the way to the 100-hour EMA and a psychological round mark at the 1.2500–1.2505 region. Any follow-through selling will see a drop to a high of November 16 at 1.2456 and finally at 1.2400 (round figure).

It’s worth noting that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds in the bullish territory above 50, indicating further upside looks favorable.

(This story was corrected on November 24 at 08:13 GMT to say, in the first paragraph, that the GBP/USD pair gained ground to a two-month high of 1.2575, not 1.2569.)

GBP/USD four-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2538
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open1.2534
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2334
Daily SMA501.226
Daily SMA1001.2501
Daily SMA2001.2453
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2576
Previous Daily Low1.2489
Previous Weekly High1.2506
Previous Weekly Low1.2213
Previous Monthly High1.2337
Previous Monthly Low1.2037
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2543
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2522
Daily Pivot Point S11.249
Daily Pivot Point S21.2446
Daily Pivot Point S31.2403
Daily Pivot Point R11.2577
Daily Pivot Point R21.262
Daily Pivot Point R31.2664

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY stays below 160.50 as markets assess BoJ decision

USD/JPY fluctuates in a relatively narrow range above 160.00 on Tuesday as markets assess the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to raise the policy rate by 25 at the June meeting. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on news coming out of the Middle East, while preparing for the critical Fed meeting.

AUD/USD struggles for direction, still below 0.7100

AUD/USD looks to extend Monday’s recovery, although a challenge to the 0.7100 barrier remains elusive ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The Aussie Dollar was unable to take advantage of the RBA's relatively cautious message, which included keeping its OCR unchanged at 4.35% and leaving the possibility of further tightening in the future.

Gold: $4,000 or $4,500? The Fed may decide Gold’s next big move

Gold now surrenders part of its initial advance and recedes to the vicinity of the $4,350 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The early enthusiasm sparked by the US-Iran peace deal has faded somewhat, prompting investors to adopt a more prudent stance as they await further details of the agreement and key guidance from the Fed.

XRP pulls back as subdued ETF inflows, layered resistance cap upside
Ripple (XRP) remains elevated above $1.23 at the time of writing on Tuesday, struggling amid a capped upside. Despite an improved overall market sentiment driven by news of a peace agreement between the United States and Iran to end the war in the Middle East, capital inflows remain notably subdued.
1% rate, 160 Yen: Why Japan’s historic hike changed little
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) pushed its short-term policy rate to 1% on Tuesday, the highest setting since 1995 and a 31-year milestone in a normalization cycle barely two years old. It is the kind of number that should mark a turning point for the Yen, and it did almost nothing.
Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it, focusing instead on slowing economic growth and proving that central bank messaging alone isn’t always enough to drive currencies.