GBP/USD Price Analysis: Holds below 1.2700, Bear cross eyed

GBP/USD trades in positive territory for two straight days on Thursday.
The pair keeps the bearish vibe unchanged below the key EMA; RSI indicator stands below the 50 midline.
The immediate resistance level is seen at 1.2700; the initial support level is located at 1.2628.

Lallalit Srijandorn FXStreet

The GBP/USD pair gains ground below the 1.2700 barrier during the early European session on Thursday. The major pair trades in positive territory for the second consecutive day as traders slashed their bets on an early interest rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE). GBP/USD currently trades near 1.2682, down 0.01% on the day.

From the technical perspective, the bearish outlook of the GBP/USD pair remains intact as the pair holds below the 50- and 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the four-hour chart. It’s worth noting that the 50-hour EMA is on the verge of crossing below the 100-hour EMA. If a decisive crossover occurs on the four-hour chart, it would validate a Bear Cross, highlighting that the path of least resistance for GBP/USD is to the downside.

The downward momentum of the major pair is supported by the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stands in bearish territory below the 50 midline, supporting the sellers for now.

The confluence of the 100-hour EMA and a psychological round figure at 1.2700 acts as an immediate resistance level for the major pair for the time being. The next upside barrier will emerge at the 1.2760-1.2765 region, portraying a high of January 15 and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. Further north, the additional upside filter is seen near a high of January 12 at 1.2785, followed by a high of December 28, 2023 at 1.2828.

On the downside, the initial support level for GBP/USD is located near a low of December 18 at 1.2628. The next contention level to watch is the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at 1.2608. Any follow-through selling below the latter will see a drop to a low of December 7 at 1.2544.

GBP/USD four-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.2681
Today Daily Change	-0.0004
Today Daily Change %	-0.03
Today daily open	1.2685

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2713
Daily SMA50	1.2618
Daily SMA100	1.2451
Daily SMA200	1.2549

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2696
Previous Daily Low	1.2597
Previous Weekly High	1.2786
Previous Weekly Low	1.2674
Previous Monthly High	1.2828
Previous Monthly Low	1.2501
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2658
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.2635
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.2622
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.256
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.2522
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.2722
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.2759
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.2822

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

FXStreet

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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