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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Eyes more gains above 1.2500 ahead of UK GDP and US PPI

  • GBP/USD is expected to witness significant gains above 1.2500 as declining US inflation has weighed heavily on the US Dollar.
  • The Pound Sterling is expected to show some action ahead of the release of the UK GDP and production-related (Feb) data.
  • The impact of the weakness in US gasoline prices in March will be reflected in PPI figures.

The GBP/USD pair is gathering strength for recapturing the psychological resistance of 1.2500 in the Asian session. The Cable got significant bids on Wednesday after United States inflation softened as anticipated by the market participants.

The Pound Sterling is expected to show some action ahead of the release of the United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and production-related (Feb) data. Monthly GDP is expected to expand by 0.1% vs. the former expansion of 0.3%. Industrial and Manufacturing Production is likely to expand by 0.2% on a monthly basis.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) seems vulnerable around 101.47 and is likely to witness more downside as the impact of weakness in gasoline prices in March will be reflected in Producer Price Index (PPI) figures. Monthly headline PPI is expected to remain stagnant against a deflation of 0.1%. Annual headline PPI would soften heavily to 3.0% from the prior release of 4.6%.

GBP/USD is marching towards the horizontal resistance placed from April 04 high at 1.2525 on an hourly scale. The Cable has got an adrenaline rush after a breakout of the Falling Channel chart pattern.

Upward-sloping 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2466 indicates more upside ahead.

An oscillation in the 60.00-80.00 range by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) indicates that the bullish momentum is already active.

For further upside, the Cable needs to surpass the psychological resistance of 1.2500, which will drive the asset towards April 04 high at 1.2525. A breach of the latter would expose the Cable to a fresh nine-month high at 1.2597, which is 08 June 2022 high.

On the flip side, a break below the round-level support of 1.2400 will expose the asset to April 10 low at 1.2344 and March 30 low at 1.2294.

GBP/USD hourly chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2493
Today Daily Change0.0010
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open1.2483
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2338
Daily SMA501.216
Daily SMA1001.2174
Daily SMA2001.1909
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2495
Previous Daily Low1.2399
Previous Weekly High1.2525
Previous Weekly Low1.2275
Previous Monthly High1.2424
Previous Monthly Low1.1803
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2458
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2436
Daily Pivot Point S11.2422
Daily Pivot Point S21.2362
Daily Pivot Point S31.2326
Daily Pivot Point R11.2519
Daily Pivot Point R21.2556
Daily Pivot Point R31.2616

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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