|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bulls have the upper hand above 100-DMA, move beyond 1.3600 awaited

  • GBP/USD was seen consolidating its recent gains to a near two-month high.
  • The set-up supports prospects for a further near-term appreciating move.
  • Any meaningful dip might still be seen as an opportunity for bullish traders.

The GBP/USD pair extended its sideways consolidative price action and remained confined in a narrow trading band, just below the 1.3600 mark through the mid-European session.

From a technical perspective, acceptance above the 100-day SMA supports prospects for an extension of the recent appreciating move further beyond the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the 1.3834-1.3161 fall. Some follow-through buying beyond the 1.3600 mark will reaffirm the positive outlook.

The GBP/USD pair might then accelerate the momentum towards testing a descending trend-line hurdle, around the 1.3675 region. The mentioned barrier extends from July 2021 swing high and should act as a key pivotal point, which if cleared will be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders.

On the flip side, the 100-day SMA, currently around mid-1.3500s, now seems to protect the immediate downside. Any subsequent decline might still be seen as a buying opportunity and remain limited near the key 1.3500 psychological mark, which coincides with the 50% Fibo. level.

A convincing break below the mentioned support levels could prompt some technical selling and drag the GBP/USD pair to the 1.3460-55 region en-route the 1.3430 area. This is followed by the 38.2% Fibo. level/50-day SMA confluence resistance breakpoint, near the 1.3400 round figure.

GBP/USD daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3582
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open1.3595
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.34
Daily SMA501.3399
Daily SMA1001.3557
Daily SMA2001.374
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3597
Previous Daily Low1.3528
Previous Weekly High1.3599
Previous Weekly Low1.3431
Previous Monthly High1.355
Previous Monthly Low1.3161
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3571
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3554
Daily Pivot Point S11.3549
Daily Pivot Point S21.3504
Daily Pivot Point S31.348
Daily Pivot Point R11.3619
Daily Pivot Point R21.3643
Daily Pivot Point R31.3688

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).