|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bulls commit at a 61.8% ratio ahead of the Fed

  • GBP/USD bears are meeting demand at a 61.8% ratio support area.
  • Bulls are in control front side of bullish trend into he Fed.

Sterling moved out of consolidation in the later part of the New York morning and is finding demand at a daily support area on the charts. However, at 1.1900, the pair is remaining precariously close to recent trend lows ahead of Wednesday's expected Fed 25bp hike.

A hawkish outcome could see GBP/USD back below Monday's low at 1.2799 as traders price a less-hawkish 25bp hike at the Bank of England's meeting on August 3.

The following illustrates the market structure on the daily chart and prospects of a move higher on a dovish outcome at the Fed:

GBP/USD daily chart

GBP/USD is still on the front side of the bullish trend and above last month's highs. Considering the long squeeze into the breakout traders of early July, at the 61.8% ratio, there is a case for the upside. However, it depends on the Fed. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD advances as US Dollar remains subdued following US inflation data

GBP/USD rises for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3400 during the Asian hours. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar holds losses following softer-than-expected US inflation data, fueling hopes that the US Federal Reserve might adopt a less hawkish monetary stance.

EUR/USD: Bulls remain cautious below 23.6% Fibo. and 1.1470 hurdle

The EUR/USD pair attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day's pullback from the 1.1460-1.1470 horizontal resistance, though it remains confined within a multi-week-old range. Spot prices trade around the 1.1435-1.1440 region during the Asian session on Wednesday, up for the second straight day amid modest US Dollar weakness.

Gold edges lower as elevated oil prices bolster Fed hike prospects and offset soft USD

Gold attracts some sellers after failing to find acceptance above the $4,100 mark the previous day, though it holds above the $4,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Wednesday. Despite soft US Consumer Price Index data, investors remain worried about energy-driven inflation as escalating US-Iran tensions and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain supportive of elevated crude oil prices.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple show tentative recovery as key technical levels hold

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple trade with a mild positive bias on Wednesday as sentiment improves across the cryptocurrency market. BTC is testing its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, ETH has broken above a key resistance level at $1,800, while XRP has found support around a key level.

2% and nothing else: Why Warsh gave Congress three hours of Greenspan

The Federal Reserve Chair who wants the institution to say less spent Tuesday legally required to say more, on the one morning the data handed him something pleasant to say. June's Consumer Price Index fell 0.4% on the month, the steepest single-month decline since April 2020.

-0.4%: Why the biggest CPI drop since 2020 couldn't buy back a single cut

The June CPI fell 0.4% on the month, the largest one-month decline since April 2020, dragging the annual rate to 3.5% from May's 4.2% and snapping a three-month acceleration streak. Core prices went nowhere, flat on the month and down to 2.6% YoY, both under consensus.