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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bears eye the confluence of the 50-DMA and the 50% Fibo around 1.3450

  • The GBP/USD slides despite the BoE’s hikes rates, courtesy of Bailey’s“dovish” comments.
  • US Treasury yields shoot through the roof after a positive US employment report.
  • GBP/USD is neutral biased, but a leg-down is on the cards, as a bearish engulfing candle pattern looms.

The British pound extended its losses after the Bank of England’s (BoE) hiked 25 basis points, but dovish comments of BoE’s Bailey in the press conference sent the GBP/USD retreating from weekly tops. At the time of writing is trading at 1.3542.

In the meantime, a better than expected US employment report send US Treasury yields higher, led by 2s and 10s, rising between twelve and ten basis points, sitting at 1.318% and 1.92%, respectively. That underpins the greenback, which pares some of its earlier losses, up 0.07% in the day, clings to 95.44.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

On Friday, during the overnight session, the GBP/USD plunged under 1.3600 for fundamental reasons, dropping more than 100-pips, but the downward move was capped at the 100-day moving average (DMA). However, it forms a bearish-engulfing candle, suggesting a leg-down is on the cards, before consolidating.

The GBP/USD’s first support level to challenge will be the confluence of the 100-DMA and the 38.2% Fibo retracement, around the 1.3507-20 range. A breach of the latter might send the pair dipping towards the confluence of the 50-DMA and the 50% Fibo retracement around 1.3433-55, followed by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.3381.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3542
Today Daily Change-0.0050
Today Daily Change %-0.37
Today daily open1.3592
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3563
Daily SMA501.3433
Daily SMA1001.3513
Daily SMA2001.3713
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3628
Previous Daily Low1.3538
Previous Weekly High1.3566
Previous Weekly Low1.3358
Previous Monthly High1.3749
Previous Monthly Low1.3358
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3594
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3572
Daily Pivot Point S11.3544
Daily Pivot Point S21.3496
Daily Pivot Point S31.3454
Daily Pivot Point R11.3634
Daily Pivot Point R21.3676
Daily Pivot Point R31.3724

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

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