|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bears are moving in with eyes on 1.2350s

  • GBP/USD is meeting resistance near 1.2470 and testing trendline support. 
  • A break below trendline support opens the 1.2350s. 

GBP/USD was last trading at 1.2435, up 0.10% on the day, after moving up from a low of 1.2392 to a high of 1.2474 although is running into resistance as the following technical analysis will illustrate. The hawkish sentiment is coming back into the market which is supporting the US Dollar.

Futures pricing shows an 85.7% chance the Fed will hike rates 25 basis points when policymakers conclude a two-day meeting on May 3, although the likelihood of a rate cut by December has narrowed considerably.

GBP/USD daily chart

The resistance is holding up the price near 1.2550 and again at 1.2470 near a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.  

GBP/USD H1 chart

The bears are in the market and are testing the short-term trendline support as illustrated above with eyes on the 1.2350s. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD shows resilience below 38.2% Fibo. near mid-0.7100s

The AUD/USD pair touches a one-and-a-half-week low, around the 0.7140 region during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks follow-through. Spot prices currently trade just above mid-0.7100s, down nearly 0.25% for the day.


USD/JPY: Japanese Yen edges lower vs USD amid Middle East jitters as Fed, BoJ meetings loom

The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers at the start of a new week and climbs closer to the 154.00 mark during the Asian session, reversing a part of Friday's losses. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a range held over the past week or so and within striking distance of a nearly seven-month low, touched last Tuesday, as traders await this week's key central bank events.


Gold: Fed’s rate decision to drive the next move
Gold reflects a subdued performance at the start of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy week at around $4,330. Fed’s interest rate expectations heavily influenced last week after the release of the hot United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports for August.
Bitcoin consolidates, Ethereum faces hurdle, XRP nears key support
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) start the week near crucial technical levels after a broadly bearish performance, correcting over 4%, 1.5% and 5% last week. BTC consolidates around $77,600, while ETH approaches key $2,550 resistance. Meanwhile, XRP trades near its key level around $1.354, making this support level crucial for its near-term outlook.
US Dollar Weekly Forecast: The last line of defense

There was no respite to the downward trend for the US Dollar this week, which added to the prior week’s retracement and at some point flirted with the area of four-month lows. Indeed, after trading at levels just shy of its psychological 100.00 barrier early in the month, the US Dollar Index has come all the way down to challenge the 98.50 zone, extending its negative streak for the third month in a row.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.