|

GBP/USD: Potential move to 1.2400 on the cards – UOB

Cable could extend the upside momentum to the 1.2400 mark in the next weeks, suggested FX Strategists at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Yesterday, we detected the ‘uptick in momentum’ and expected a ‘slightly higher GBP’. However, GBP staged an abrupt lift-off and rocketed to end the day up by +1.19% (1.2338), the biggest 1-day gain in almost 2 months. While further GBP strength is not ruled out in the days ahead, the current rally is deep in overbought territory and GBP may not have enough fuel to move clearly above the overnight high of 1.2363. For today, the rally in GBP probably needs to catch its breath and GBP is likely trade sideways. Expected range for today, 1.2265/1.2365.

Next 1-3 weeks: “We narrowed our expected consolidation range for GBP from 1.2100/1.2400 to 1.2100/1.2320 yesterday (26 May, spot at 1.2200). We did not anticipate the subsequent strong surge in GBP that sent it higher by +1.19% (1.2338). Upward momentum has improved considerably but at this stage, it is too soon to expect the start of a sustained advance in GBP. Only a daily closing above 1.2400 would indicate the start of a move towards 1.2460 (and possibly higher). Meanwhile, GBP is expected to trade with an upward bias towards 1.2400 as long as it does not move below 1.2230.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD weakens below 1.3250 as UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigns

The GBP/USD pair loses ground to near 1.3245 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. Political uncertainty in the United Kingdom continues to weigh on the British Pound against the US Dollar. The preliminary readings of the S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index from both the US and the UK are due later on Tuesday. 


Euro declines below 1.1450 on US-Iran peace deal uncertainty

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild losses around 1.1425. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro amid risk-off sentiment and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance. Traders will keep an eye on the preliminary readings of the Purchasing Managers Index from Germany, the Eurozone, and the United States later on Tuesday.

Gold drops to nearly two-week low, seems vulnerable amid Fed hike bets, bullish USD

Gold adds to its Asian session losses, and drops to a nearly two-week low, around the $4,115 region in the last hour amid a bullish US Dollar. Despite positive signals from US-Iran peace talks, widespread skepticism remains toward a final deal. This helps the USD in preserving its recent strong gains to the highest level since May 2025.

Bitcoin holds steady as ETF outflows decline – DEXE and TIA extend gains

Bitcoin hovers above $64,000 at press time on Tuesday, holding steady after a roughly 4% drop last week. Data shows that institutional outflows are easing, suggesting broader market recovery potential, while DeXe and Celestia have emerged as frontrunners over the last 24 hours.

Are American consumers actually “resilient“?
A common label gets placed upon American buyers: resilient. Just last week, Marianne Lake, the CEO of Consumer and Community Banking — and a member of the JPMorganChase Operating Committee — affirmed this sentiment. While she did note some weariness regarding future inflation’s effect on consumers, she reiterated the common adjective: resilient.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.