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GBP/USD plummets below 1.2000, seems vulnerable near YTD low amid broad-based USD strength

  • GBP/USD came under intense selling pressure on Tuesday and dived to a three-week low.
  • A combination of factors lifted the USD to a fresh 20-year peak and weighed on the major.
  • Brexit woes, less hawkish BoE expectations further exerted downward pressure on the GBP.

The GBP/USD pair remained under intense selling pressure through the early North American session and dived to the 1.1965-1.1960 area, or a three-week low in the last hour.

The US dollar caught aggressive bids on Tuesday and rallied to a fresh two-decade high, which, in turn, was seen as a key factor that exerted heavy downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. The Federal Reserve’s non-stop chatter about rate hikes to curb soaring inflation continued lending support to the USD. Apart from this, the prevalent risk-off environment provided an additional boost to the safe-haven greenback.

The market sentiment remains fragile amid concerns that rapidly rising interest rates and tightening financial conditions would pose challenges to global economic growth. Apart from this, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and the COVID-19 outbreak in China have been fueling recession fears. This, in turn, tempered investors' appetite for perceived riskier assets, which was evident from a fresh leg down in the equity markets.

The British pound was further pressured by domestic issues and worried that the UK government's controversial Northern Ireland Protocol Bill could trigger a trade war with the European Union. Apart from this, expectations that the Bank of England would adopt a gradual approach towards raising interest rates amid the ongoing cost of living crisis further contributed to the GBP/USD pair's steep decline.

The sharp intraday downfall took along some short-term trading stops near the 1.2000 psychological mark. This might have already set the stage for a further near-term depreciating move. Some follow-through selling below the YTD low, around the 1.1935-1.1930 region, would reaffirm the negative bias and make the GBP/USD vulnerable.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1968
Today Daily Change-0.0150
Today Daily Change %-1.24
Today daily open1.2118
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2257
Daily SMA501.2387
Daily SMA1001.2789
Daily SMA2001.3146
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2165
Previous Daily Low1.2085
Previous Weekly High1.2332
Previous Weekly Low1.1976
Previous Monthly High1.2617
Previous Monthly Low1.1934
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2135
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2115
Daily Pivot Point S11.208
Daily Pivot Point S21.2042
Daily Pivot Point S31.1999
Daily Pivot Point R11.2161
Daily Pivot Point R21.2203
Daily Pivot Point R31.2241

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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