|

GBP/USD: Off lows, but weak tone persists on talk of BOE considering negative rates

  • GBP/USD remains in the red near 1.2950, having hit a low of 1.2921 in early Asia.
  • The BOE is reportedly considering pushing rates below zero.
  • The central bank is expected to boost the bond-buying program on Thursday.

While the GBP/USD pair has bounced from session lows, it is still trading in the red as the pound is struggling to draw strong bids on reports that the Bank of England (BOE) is considering implementing negative rates. 

At press time, the currency pair is trading near 1.2951, representing a 0.27% loss on the day. 

The currency pair fell to a low of 1.2921 early Thursday after the Telegraph newspaper reported, without citing any sources, that the BOE is investigating the possibility of driving interest rates into negative territory. The European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Japan, and Swiss National Bank have been running negative interest policies since at least 2016. However, the strategy has failed to boost inflation to the 2% target. 

The GBP will likely take a beating if the BOE drops hints of an imminent move to sub-zero levels on Thursday.  Economists expect a 100-billion-pounds expansion of the BOE's asset purchase program at Thursday's meeting, according to Reuters. 

Apart from the dovish BOE expectations, the US political uncertainty could hurt the pound. That's because the lack of clarity on the election outcome and the possibility that results are contested in court would reduce the probability of the UK and the US agreeing to a trade deal before Dec. 31. 

Technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2951
Today Daily Change-0.0036
Today Daily Change %-0.28
Today daily open1.2987
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2992
Daily SMA501.2988
Daily SMA1001.2887
Daily SMA2001.2707
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.314
Previous Daily Low1.2915
Previous Weekly High1.308
Previous Weekly Low1.2881
Previous Monthly High1.3177
Previous Monthly Low1.282
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3001
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3054
Daily Pivot Point S11.2888
Daily Pivot Point S21.2788
Daily Pivot Point S31.2662
Daily Pivot Point R11.3113
Daily Pivot Point R21.324
Daily Pivot Point R31.3339

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD off highs, back to 1.3620

GBP/USD remains slightly on the defensive at the end of the week, receding to the low 1.3600s after hitting fresh tops past 1.3670 earlier in the day. Cable’s correction comes after two daily gains in a row and amid a tepid advance in the Greenback, while poor UK data also accompany the downside.

EUR/USD treads water below 1.1700

EUR/USD now trades with modest losses around 1.1670 following another unsuccessful atempt to advance past 1.1700 the figure in a convincing fashion. The pair’s decline follows a maginal rebound in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess recent US data as well as developments from the US bond market.

Gold trims gains, recedes to the sub-$4,600 area

Gold rapidly leaves behind Thursday’s inconclusive price action and advances markedly on Friday, briefly surpassing the $4,600 mark per troy ounce to hit three-month peaks. Meanwhile, the precious metal’s solid performance comes despite marginal gains in the buck coupled with another day of rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Week ahead: Fed’s Jackson Hole and Nvidia earnings to dictate markets
The new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, has made few public appearances since taking the central bank helm in May, yet he’s found it difficult to steer off controversy. Question marks about his relations with the President, Donald Trump, continue to swirl, while markets are still trying to make sense of his approach to monetary policy.
CFTC Report: Oil positioning rebounds; VIX and Yen exposure turn more bearish
The week in one sentence: Speculative positioning turned more constructive in the week to August 18. WTI recorded the largest increase, followed by a sharp narrowing in CAD net shorts. VIX and JPY positioning moved the other way, while Gold remained the clearest crowded long despite a softer spot price.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.

GBP/USD: Off lows, but weak tone persists on talk of BOE considering negative rates