|

GBP/USD looking to hold onto 1.3050 ahead of Tuesday's politics-heavy news flow

  • Brexit and US elections are the trigger-words for Tuesday's major markets.
  • Any last-minute announcements on Brexit talks could easily overshadow mid-term elections, but a lack of movement on either side regarding Ireland's border sees that as unlikely.

The GBP/USD is continuing to struggle near the 1.3050 level heading into Tuesday's London market session as a notable lack of a workable Irish border solution to Brexit negotiations sees Sterling traders swarming on headlines that are heavy on hope but thin on details as EU-UK talks continue to go nowhere.

GBP/USD analysis: running against the clock, but far from a solution on Irish backstop

Tuesday is a political day for the markets, with little functional data on the economic calendar, but a steady stream of Brexit headlines in the UK and US mid-term election results due later in the day, and the GBP/USD sees plenty of opportunities to experience broader market volatility.

This week opened on premature hopes fueled by rumours that the UK could be inches away from securing a workable Brexit agreement, but as the week winds out its increasingly clear that this is not the case, and the clock is quickly running out of time for the two sides to reach equilibrium, and the Irish border disagreement remains a critical, but unsolvable issue. On the US side, Americans are voting in critical mid-term elections throughout the day, and polls show President Donald Trump's Republican party struggling to hang onto voters that swept them into the President's office in 2016.

GBP/USD levels to watch

The GBP has seen plenty of support on Brexit hopes, but according to FXStreet's Valeria Bednarik, there's plenty of room for buyers to retain control of the pair until meaningful information begins to cross the wires: "from a technical point of view, the Pound is relatively strong, as seems speculative interest is willing to believe a deal will be achieved. The 4 hours chart shows that the pair spent the day consolidating above a flat 200 EMA, while the 20 SMA keeps advancing below the larger one, now catching up with the price after last week's run. The Momentum indicator in the mentioned chart has spent the day easing within positive ground but the RSI advanced modestly, holding near overbought readings, indicating that bulls retain control despite being unwilling to push the pair higher."

Support levels: 1.3020 1.2980 1.2935    

Resistance levels:  1.3085 1.3130 1.3180

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

Japanese Yen weakens to two-year lows, targets 162.00

USD/JPY extends its advance well north of the 161.00 barrier on Thursday, always on the back of the continuation of the US Dollar's post-Fed rebound and despite warnings from the BoJ of a potential intervention at any time. Next on the upside for spot comes the July 2024 peak in levels just shy of 162.00 the figure.

AUD/USD trims gains, challenges 0.7000

AUD/USD now alternates gains with losses just above the key 0.7000 level ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The pair clinches its third consecutive daily retracement, always on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback, particularly following the Fed’s hawkish hold on Wednesday.

Gold drops to daily lows near $4,200

Gold struggles to attract buyers on Thursday, trading closer to the $4,200 mark per troy ounce. The yellow metal adds to Wednesday’s pullback and slips back to multi-day lows in response to the stronger US Dollar following the Fed’s hawkish hold on Wednesday.

XRP vulnerable below key EMA resistance levels
Ripple (XRP) ticks down below $1.20 with short-term support at $1.16 intact at the time of writing on Thursday. An early-week rally was rejected at $1.28, weighing on sentiment as traders broadly de-risked.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.

The next big AI trade may not be about chips or software

Artificial intelligence has already created some of the biggest winners in modern market history. Chipmakers have surged, data centre construction is booming, and electricity demand forecasts are changing globally.