|

GBP/USD: Likely to trade in a range of 1.3065/1.3185 – UOB Group

There is scope for Pound Sterling (GBP) to drop below 1.3100; the likelihood of a clear break below 1.3085 is not high. GBP is now more likely to trade in a range of 1.3065/1.3185 rather than edging higher, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Likelihood of a clear break below 1.3085 is not high

24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, we held the view that GBP 'is likely to trade in a range between 1.3120 and 1.3185'. However, during the NY session, GBP dropped sharply to a low of 1.3085. The decline was brief, as GBP rebounded strongly from the low and closed at 1.3133 (-0.12%). The price movements have resulted in a slight increase in downward momentum. Today, there is scope for GBP to drop below 1.3100, but the likelihood of a clear break below 1.3085 is not high. Resistance is at 1.3145, and if GBP breaks above 1.3165, it would indicate that the current mild downward pressure has eased."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Last Friday (07 Nov, spot at 1.3140), we highlighted that GBP 'could recover further but any advance is likely part of a higher range of 1.3050/1.3220'. Two days ago (11 Nov, spot at 1.3170), we stated that “while we continue to hold the same view, we now expect a narrower range of 1.3065/1.3230.” Yesterday, GBP pulled back to a low of 1.3085. The pullback suggests that GBP is now more likely to trade in a range of 1.3065/1.3185 rather than edging higher."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.