|

GBP/USD: Likely to trade between 1.2740 and 1.2860 – UOB Group

Current price movements are likely part of a range-trading phase, probably between 1.2740 and 1.2860. In the longer run, Pound Sterling (GBP) could decline further vs US Dollar (USD); it is unclear if it can reach the next major support at 1.2580, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

GBP to decline further against USD

24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, we indicated that GBP 'could edge lower to 1.2675 before stabilisation is likely.' We also indicated that 'any further decline is unlikely to reach 1.2580.' Our expectations did not materialise as GBP traded between 1.2725 and 1.2812 before closing higher by 0.33% at 1.2766. The current price movements are likely part of a range-trading phase, probably between 1.2740 and 1.2860."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "There is not much to add to our update from yesterday, 08 Apr, when GBP was at 1.2760. As highlighted, the dramatic plunge in GBP late last week and early this week appears excessive. As there is no sign of stabilisation just yet, GBP 'could decline further, but it is unclear if it can reach the next major support at 1.2580.' On the upside, a breach of 1.2950 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 1.3000 yesterday) would suggest that GBP is not declining further."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains above 0.7200 after China's trade data

AUD/USD sits above 0.7200 in the Asian session on Tuesday, near its highest level since May 14. The US Dollar stays under pressure as a rallying Japanese Yen outweighs support from hawkish Fed bets and geopolitical tensions. This, along with firming expectations for another RBA rate hike later this month, acts as a tailwind for the Aussie. However, mixed China trade balance data keep the pair restricted.

USD/JPY stabilizes at around 154.00 as markets assess BoJ outlook

USD/JPY fluctuates at around 154.00 in the American session on Tuesday after rebounding from the six-month low it touched below 153.00 earlier in the day. Nevertheless, the upside attempts resemble technical corrections for now as Japan's upbeat wage growth data and Q2 GDP revision cement bets on a BoJ rate hike next week and continue to support the Japanese Yen.

Gold holds around $4,400, but for how long?
Gold (XAU/USD) remains on the back foot during American trading hours on Tuesday, even as the US Dollar (USD) remains on the defensive. Rising Oil prices and expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike weigh on the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,400 after reaching an intraday high near $4,443.
Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to macro signals amid changing derivatives narrative
Bitcoin’s (BTC) sensitivity to US economic data has become increasingly evident this year. As the market approaches several important data dumps this week, BTC traders are keenly aware of the significance just like their counterparts in TradFi. And just like the stock market, crypto traders are focused squarely on the US central bank's interest rate policy.
Europe in focus: September 2026
Six major net contributors demanded substantial cuts to the European Commission’s proposed 2028–2034 EU budget. Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Sweden issued a joint position on 27 August calling for the nearly €2 trillion proposal to be reduced by several hundred billion euros and rejecting additional common EU borrowing.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.