|

GBP/USD holds steady near multi-week top as traders await this week's key data/event risks

  • GBP/USD consolidates its recent gains to a multi-week high and oscillates in a range on Monday.
  • Expectations for more BoE rate hikes continue to underpin the GBP and lend support to the pair.
  • Traders now seem reluctant to place aggressive bets ahead of this week’s key data/event risks.

The GBP/USD pair kicks off the new week on a subdued note and consolidates its recent gains to a one-month high touched on Friday. 
Spot prices trade around the 1.2575-1.2580 region, nearly unchanged for the day through the Asian session as traders await this week's important macro data and the key central bank event risk before placing fresh directional bets.

In the meantime, expectations for more interest rate hikes by the Bank of England (BoE) act as a tailwind for the British Pound and continue to lend support to the GBP/USD pair. In fact, the markets seem convinced that the BoE will be far more aggressive in policy tightening to contain stubbornly high inflation and anticipate another 25 bps lift-off on June 22. The US Dollar, on the other hand, holds just above the monthly low touched last Thursday in the wake of the uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate hike path.

In fact, the recent dovish rhetoric by several Fed officials reaffirmed market expectations that the US central bank will pause its yearly-long rate-hiking cycle in June. The markets, however, have been pricing in the possibility of another 25 bps lift-off in July. The bets were lifted by surprise rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Bank of Canada (BoC) last week, which suggested that the fight against inflation is still not over yet and supports prospects for further policy tightening by the US central bank.

Hence, the market focus will remain glued to the outcome of the highly-anticipated two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. Investors this week will also confront the release of the crucial UK monthly employment details and the latest US consumer inflation figures on Tuesday. In the meantime, worries about a global economic slowdown might keep a lid on any optimism in the markets, which might underpin the Greenback's safe-haven status and hold back bulls from placing fresh bets around the GBP/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2575
Today Daily Change-0.0005
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open1.258
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2443
Daily SMA501.2469
Daily SMA1001.2309
Daily SMA2001.2016
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.259
Previous Daily Low1.2534
Previous Weekly High1.259
Previous Weekly Low1.2369
Previous Monthly High1.268
Previous Monthly Low1.2308
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2569
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2556
Daily Pivot Point S11.2546
Daily Pivot Point S21.2512
Daily Pivot Point S31.249
Daily Pivot Point R11.2602
Daily Pivot Point R21.2624
Daily Pivot Point R31.2658

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?
The Euro is not the sick man of Europe. France's bond market is
EUR/USD remains under pressure, near the 17-month low of 1.1161 reached on Monday. The pair has lost more than 7% since its yearly peak, as concerns over France's public finances increasingly weigh on the single currency. But behind the weakness of the Euro (EUR), the problem does not necessarily lie with the European economy as a whole.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?