|

GBP/USD has had a volatile session oscillating within a 160 pip range after Brexit developments

  • It has been a day of complex Brexit news.
  • GBP has now settled 0.19% lower on Thursday.

Fundamental backdrop

It has been a day of mixed messaged and interesting price action as lots of Brexit headlines hit the wires. The beginning of the session was full of negativity there was short-lived after UK MP Michael Gove stated that "differences in Brexit talks still remain and the UK are looking at steps to safeguard borders after Brexit". Then approximately an hour or so later Ursula Gertrud von der Leyen the president of the European Commission said that the EU has sent formal notice to the UK for breaching its obligations under the Withdrawal Agreement. This was to be expected and any legal action could take months. 

Adding to this flurry of news EU's Barnier then had his say noting that the EU would not sign a trade deal with the UK while the current internal market bill is in place. Following this, the UK PM Spokesman said the UK are committed to working through the joint committee to find a solution to the Northern Ireland protocol.

GBP/USD 30-min chart

The 30-minute chart shows the extent of the volatility in the session on Thursday. The price has now settled in the middle of the 160 pip range close to 1.2895 - 1.29. The area marked in orange is closed to the 1.29 area and is now the focal point of the congestion area. 

If the price does close near the current level it will end the row of three consecutive positive closes in the pair and this may signal a reversal in the trend. There could be some sideways action first however but tomorrow the market will get the latest non-farm payroll data and this could cause some more volatility.

GBP/USD Analysis

Additional levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2894
Today Daily Change-0.0027
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open1.2921
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2915
Daily SMA501.3028
Daily SMA1001.2751
Daily SMA2001.2719
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2943
Previous Daily Low1.2806
Previous Weekly High1.2967
Previous Weekly Low1.2676
Previous Monthly High1.3482
Previous Monthly Low1.2676
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.289
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2858
Daily Pivot Point S11.2837
Daily Pivot Point S21.2753
Daily Pivot Point S31.27
Daily Pivot Point R11.2974
Daily Pivot Point R21.3027
Daily Pivot Point R31.3112

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

More from Rajan Dhall, MSTA
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs on US CPI

EUR/USD now accelerates it rebound and flirts with the 1.1880 zone on Friday, or daily highs, all in response to renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar. In the meantime, US inflation figures showed the headline CPI rose less than expected in January, removing some tailwinds from the Greenback’s momentum.

GBP/USD clings to gains above 1.3600

GBP/USD reverses three consecutive daily pullbacks on Friday, hovering around the low-1.3600s on the back of the vacillating performance of the Greenback in the wake of the release of US CPI prints in January. Earlier in the day, the BoE’s Pill suggested that UK inflation could settle around 2.5%, above the bank’s goal.

Gold: Upside remains capped by $5,000

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked retracement, as bargain-hunters seem to have stepped in. The precious metal’s upside, however, appears limited amid the slightly better tone in the US Dollar after US inflation data saw the CPI rise less than estimated at the beginning of the year.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.