|

GBP/USD: Growth may extend to 1.2970 – UOB Group

Overbought advance in the Pound Sterling (GBP) could extend to 1.2970 before a pullback can be expected. Risk remains on the upside; overbought conditions suggest 1.3000 might not come into view so soon, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Upside risk intact above 1.2855

24-HOUR VIEW: “While we expected GBP to break above 1.2860 yesterday, we were of the view that ‘the next major resistance at 1.2900 is unlikely to come into view.’ The anticipated GBP strength exceeded our expectations, as it soared to a high of 1.2949. Despite being overbought, the advance in GBP could extend to 1.2970 before a pullback can be expected. The next major resistance at 1.3000 is unlikely to come into view. Should GBP break below 1.2880 (minor support at 1.2900), it would mean that the current upward pressure has eased.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Last Thursday (04 Jul, spot at 1.2745), we indicated that ‘the risk for GBP has shifted to the upside.’ After GBP rose, in our update from yesterday (11 Jul, spot at 1.2845), we pointed out that ‘the price action continues to suggest upside risk, and the next level to monitor is 1.2900.’ GBP broke above 1.2900 in a hurry as it soared, reaching a high of 1.2949 in NY trade. While the risk remains on the upside, overbought conditions suggest 1.3000 might not come into view so soon. The upside risk is intact as long as 1.2855 (‘strong support’ level was at 1.2775 yesterday) is not breached.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.