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GBP/USD follows the downward path near 1.2320, focus on BoE policy decision

  • GBP/USD extends its losses on the second successive day on the Fed's hawkish tone.
  • Fed revised the projected interest rates for 2024, elevating them from 4.6% to 5.1%.
  • The market expects an imminent halt in the BoE’s interest rate-hike cycle due to UK soft data on Wednesday.

GBP/USD expands losses on the second successive day, trading lower around 1.2320 during the Asian session on Thursday. US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish stance exerts downward pressure on the pair.

As anticipated, the Fed chose to keep the existing benchmark policy rates unchanged at 5.5% during the meeting held on Wednesday.

The central bank is expected to attempt an additional rate hike in 2023, following the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) expectation for slightly elevated inflation compared to its previous forecasts.

Therefore, Fed officials unexpectedly revised their projected interest rates for 2024, increasing them from 4.6% to 5.1%, which contributes to the support in underpinning the US Dollar (USD).

US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the performance of the Greenback against the six other major currencies, extends its gains and trades a six-month high of around 105.50 at the time of writing. Additionally, Higher US Treasury yields help the buck to rise.

The yield on 10-year US note rose to 4.43% by the press time, the highest since 2007.

Furthermore, during a press conference held immediately after the rate decision, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated the Fed's dedication to achieving its long-term inflation target of 2%.

Powell indicated that the central bank is probably nearing the apex of its interest rate hike cycle, yet he underscored that forthcoming policy determination would hinge on data-driven analysis.

On the GBP side, the anticipation of an imminent halt in the Bank of England's (BoE) cycle of raising interest rates continues to exert downward pressure on the British Pound, causing the GBP/USD pair to decline.

Market sentiment experienced a significant shift following the release of UK data on Wednesday, which showed that the annual headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped to 6.7% in August from 6.8% in July, contradicting the consensus forecast of an increase to 7.1%.

Moreover, the core CPI registered at 6.2% for the 12 months ending in August, down from 6.9% in July. These developments occurred alongside resurfacing concerns of a potential economic downturn and signs of a cooling labor market in the UK, aligning with market expectations.

Consequently, the focal point will remain fixed on the eagerly awaited policy decision by the Bank of England, set to be announced later in the day.

Investors will likely watch the upcoming data release from the United States (US) due on Thursday, including the weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey, and Existing Home Sales Change.

GBP/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2322
Today Daily Change-0.0022
Today Daily Change %-0.18
Today daily open1.2344
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2523
Daily SMA501.27
Daily SMA1001.2649
Daily SMA2001.2433
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2421
Previous Daily Low1.2332
Previous Weekly High1.2548
Previous Weekly Low1.2379
Previous Monthly High1.2841
Previous Monthly Low1.2548
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2366
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2387
Daily Pivot Point S11.231
Daily Pivot Point S21.2277
Daily Pivot Point S31.2221
Daily Pivot Point R11.24
Daily Pivot Point R21.2455
Daily Pivot Point R31.2489

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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