|

GBP/USD fails to preserve gains, calms down below mid-1.27s

  • GBP/USD trades in a wide 130 pip range on Monday.
  • Brexit uncertainty doesn't allow a deep recovery in GBP.
  • US Dollar Index moves sideways near 97 following mixed PMI data.

Although the GBP/USD pair took advantage of the broad-based USD weakness and rose above the 1.28 handle on Monday, it failed to extend its rally in the second half of the day and erased its daily upside. As of writing, the pair was trading at 1.2735, losing 0.1% on a daily basis.

After the U.S. and China agreed to hold off on additional tariffs for the next 90 days, the greenback, which acted as a safe-haven during the times when trade-concerns weighed on the sentiment, started the week under pressure to allow the pair to gain traction. Additionally, the IHS Markit's Manufacturing PMI in the UK came in at 53.1 in November to beat the analysts' estimate of 51.8 and provided extra support to the sterling.

However, with political headlines from the UK hinting at the possibility of the Parliament voting down Prime Minister Theresa May's Brexit deal, investors refrained from making large bets and the pair lost its momentum. 

  • One third of May’s MP Trade Envoys will not back Brexit plan – Sky.

On the other hand, the US Dollar Index rose toward the 97 mark in the NA session and forced the pair to fall back into the negative territory. Nevertheless, today's mixed manufacturing PMI data from the U.S. made it difficult for the index to stay in the green and helped the pair to limit its losses.

Technical levels to consider

1.2700 (daily low/Oct. 30 low) aligns as the first critical support for the pair ahead of 1.2640 (Jun. 12, 2017, low) and 1.2590 (Jun. 21, 2017, low). On the upside, resistances are located at 1.2820 (20-DMA/daily high), 1.2880 (Nov. 23 high) and 1.2930 (Nov. 22 high).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.