|

GBP/USD eyes upside above 1.2600 on weak US NFP forecasts

  • GBP/USD is trading lackluster as investors have reduced volume ahead of the US NFP.
  • Poor ADP Employment Change numbers have trimmed the forecasts of the payrolls data.
  • The BOE needs to continue elevating its interest rates aggressively to contain the runaway inflation.

The GBP/USD pair is auctioning back and forth in a 1.2565-1.2590 range. It looks like a lackluster Asian session is carry-forwarding to the European shift and all eyes are set on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) event.

The US economy will report the NFPSs, Unemployment Rate, and ISM Services PMI on Friday. The market participants have lowered the consensus for the payroll data. Earlier, the expectations for the employment generation figures were 325K. Now, the dismal Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change has lowered the forecasts significantly to 225K, as per Reuters. The Unemployment Rate is expected to decline to 3.5% from the prior print of 3.6%. The entire employment data signals that a tight labor market will continue its dominance, however, the rate of employment generation will diminish vigorously.

Apart from the employment data, investors will focus on the ISM Services PMI data. A preliminary estimate of the ISM Services PMI is hinting at underperformance. The economic catalyst is expected to land at 56.4 against the prior print of 57.1.

Meanwhile, the pound bulls pushed cable higher on Thursday amid a rebound in the positive market sentiment. Risk-perceived currencies gained a lot of traction. A light economic calendar on the pound front will provide more power to the chatters over inflationary pressures and interest rates in the UK. The Bank of England (BOE) is expected to continue dictating bumper rate hikes as it seems the only measure to tame the runaway inflation. Investors should be informed that the inflation rate in the UK is stable above 9%.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2568
Today Daily Change-0.0011
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open1.2579
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2453
Daily SMA501.2725
Daily SMA1001.3066
Daily SMA2001.331
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2586
Previous Daily Low1.2469
Previous Weekly High1.2667
Previous Weekly Low1.2472
Previous Monthly High1.2667
Previous Monthly Low1.2155
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2542
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2514
Daily Pivot Point S11.2503
Daily Pivot Point S21.2428
Daily Pivot Point S31.2386
Daily Pivot Point R11.2621
Daily Pivot Point R21.2662
Daily Pivot Point R31.2738

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD surges to multi-day peaks past 1.3250

GBP/USD leaves behind Friday’s small pullback and advances past 1.3250 level, or five-day highs, on Monday. Cable’s upside follows extra losses in the Greenback, while traders continue to assess the geopolitical front and upcoming key events.

EUR/USD pops to daily highs near 1.1430

EUR/USD starts the week on a positive note, climbing to as high as the 1.1430 zone, or daily tops, on Monday. The pair’s recovery comes in response to the broad-based US Dollar weakness, while investors continue to monitor developments from the Middle East ahead of the beginning of the ECB's annual forum.

Gold struggles to attract investors

Gold remains under marked selling pressure, holding on just above the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the beginning of the week. The precious metal reverses two daily advances in a row as renewed effervescence in the Middle East revive inflation concerns and bolster Fed rate hike expectations.

Bitcoin four-year cycle: BTC risks 75% drawdown with four months of bear market still ahead

Bitcoin price continues to trend downward below the $60,000 support zone after losing over 50% of its value since the $126,199 high in October. Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, measured from cycle tops to bottoms, suggests that four months of a bear market are still ahead.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.