|

GBP/USD eyeing to reclaim 1.25 psychological mark

The greenback extended overnight reversal move, helping the GBP/USD major to move within striking distance of reclaiming 1.2500 psychological mark.

Currently trading around 1.2490-95 band, the pair has now recovered over 100-pips from yesterday's sub-1.2400 level and has been primarily driven by a follow through greenback retracement. The Fed Chair Janet Yellen's slightly cautious tone, during the semiannual before the House Financial Services Committee, failed to extend upbeat US economic data-led bullish sentiment surrounding the greenback and prompted investors to trim their bullish USD bets. In fact, the key US Dollar Index on Wednesday reversed early up-move to monthly highs and has now broken below 101.00 handle. 

With Wednesday's reversal and subsequent recovery on Thursday, markets now seem to have digested yesterday's disappointing UK CPI print and the US Dollar price-dynamics remains an exclusive driver of the pair's movement on Thursday.

In absence of any relevant data from the UK, market participants will focus on the US economic docket featuring the release of usual weekly jobless claims, building permits, housing starts and Philly Fed manufacturing index, due later during NA session.

Technical levels to watch

Momentum above 1.2500 immediate resistance is likely to confront resistance near 1.2525-30 horizontal zone, which if cleared is likely to accelerate the up-move back towards 1.2575-80 resistance ahead of 1.2600 round figure mark.

On the downside, 1.2465 level now becomes immediate support to defend below which the pair could drop 50-day SMA support near 1.2420 region before eventually breaking back below 1.2400 handle and aim towards testing Feb. monthly lows support near 1.2350-45 region. 

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.2408
100.0%71.0%21.0%0203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 21% Bullish
  • 50% Bearish
  • 29% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.2358
100.0%82.0%29.0%03040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 29% Bullish
  • 53% Bearish
  • 18% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.2142
100.0%80.0%12.0%010203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 12% Bullish
  • 68% Bearish
  • 20% Sideways
Bias Bearish

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 due to cautious trade before FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD holds ground after four days of little losses, trading around 1.1770 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair remains steady as US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee December Meeting Minutes due later in the day, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold rises on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold price edges higher above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was gold's largest single-day loss since October.  Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Solana risks correction within descending wedge as bearish bets rise

Solana hovers above $120 at press time on Tuesday after a nearly 2% decline on Monday. The SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds see renewed interest after recording their lowest weekly inflow last week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).