|

GBP/USD: Extra gains look likely above 1.2400 – UOB

In the view of Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group, GBP/USD could see its gains accelerated on a close above 1.2400.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Our view for GBP yesterday was that it ‘is likely to test the major resistance at 1.2340 but it is unlikely to maintain a foothold above this level’. Our view was not wrong even though GBP strengthened more than expected, rising to 1.2348 before settling on a firm note at 1.2341 (+0.44%). Despite the advance, there is no significant improvement in upward momentum. However, there is room for GBP to rise to 1.2370 before the risk of a pullback increases. The next resistance at 1.2400 is unlikely to come into view. On the downside, a breach of 1.2290 (minor support is at 1.2310) would indicate that GBP is not advancing further.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “Two days ago (27 Mar, spot at 1.2240), we held the view that the recent GBP strength has ended and we expected GBP to trade in a range of 1.2140/1.2340. Yesterday, GBP rose slightly above the top of the expected range (high of 1.2348). Upward momentum appears to be building, albeit tentatively. In order for GBP to advance in a sustained manner, it has to break and stay above 1.2400. The likelihood of a clear break of 1.2400 is not high for now but it will remain intact as long as GBP stays above 1.2240 in the next few days. Looking ahead, the next resistance above 1.2400 is a solid level at 1.2450.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).