|

GBP/USD: Extra gains likely above 1.2270 – UOB

In the opinion of UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang, GBP/USD is seen gathering further upside traction once it clears 1.2270.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: We highlighted yesterday that the “outlook for GBP is unclear,” and we expected it to trade in a relatively broad range of 1.2130/1.2270. However, GBP traded in a narrower range than expected (1.2166/1.2245). Upward momentum is building, albeit tentatively. Today, there is a chance for GBP to break above 1.2270 and head to 1.2305. The major resistance at 1.2350 is unlikely to come into view. Support is at 1.2220, followed by 1.2195. 

Next 1-3 weeks: In our latest narrative from last Thursday (05 Oct, spot at 1.2140), we highlighted that the recent downward momentum buildup has faded and the current price movement is likely part of a range-trading phase. We expected GBP to trade between 1.2030 and 1.2270. While GBP is still trading within the range, improving upward momentum suggests that GBP is likely to break above 1.2270. A breach of this level could trigger a stronger recovery to 1.2350. The likelihood of GBP breaking above 1.2270 and rising to 1.2350 will remain intact as long as GBP stays above 1.2150 in the next few days. 

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recedes to daily lows near 1.1850

EUR/USD keeps its bearish momentum well in place, slipping back to the area of 1.1850 to hit daily lows on Monday. The pair’s continuation of the leg lower comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar in a context of scarce volatility and thin trade conditions due to the inactivity in the US markets.

GBP/USD resumes the downtrend, back to the low-1.3600s

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Friday’s decent advance, refocusing on the downside and retreating to the 1.3630 region at the beginning of the week. In the meantime, the British Pound is expected to remain under the microscope ahead of the release of the key UK labour market report on Tuesday.

Gold looks inconclusive around $5,000

Gold partially fades Friday’s strong recovery, orbiting around the key $5,000 region per troy ounce in a context of humble gains in the Greenback on Monday. Additing to the vacillating mood, trade conditions remain thin amid the observance of the Presidents Day holiday in the US.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR risks a drop below $300 under mounting bearish pressure

Monero (XMR) starts the week under pressure, recording a 4% decline at press time on Monday after a 7% drop the previous day, putting the $300 support zone in focus.